Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2019-08-22

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-08-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94541 4140 46 213 0 0 0 0
OW 0 111 41 387 13 1 0 0
VODI 0 29 4 441 284 14 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 70 470 79 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 290 2776 519 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1677 2952 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-08-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94803 3840 41 265 0 0 0 0
OW 0 151 46 364 43 1 0 0
VODI 0 37 10 427 260 19 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 74 444 129 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 313 2739 501 2
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 684 3695 207
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-08-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95179 3612 37 165 5 0 0 0
OW 0 158 42 284 36 0 0 0
VODI 0 17 8 438 262 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 24 590 148 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 121 2810 201 7
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 397 3831 726
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-08-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95295 3458 33 177 16 0 0 0
OW 0 223 40 254 59 0 0 0
VODI 0 18 17 429 246 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 55 493 158 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 1098 1865 384 32
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 495 2796 1452
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95295 3503 39 231 29 0 0 0
OW 0 166 34 216 58 0 0 0
VODI 0 30 15 418 249 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 48 432 137 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 1145 1945 326 29
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 438 2854 1455

Date: 2019-08-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95126 3626 25 156 15 0 0 0
OW 0 292 47 231 61 0 0 0
VODI 0 27 18 406 294 13 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 44 444 218 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 840 2344 911 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 666 3289 5
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95126 3680 31 185 24 0 0 0
OW 0 232 39 216 66 0 0 0
VODI 0 33 20 393 285 13 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 43 397 195 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 882 2424 717 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 609 3485 5

Date: 2019-08-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93975 5014 28 152 8 0 0 0
OW 0 285 52 234 29 0 0 0
VODI 0 23 16 493 145 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 15 696 88 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 553 2778 378 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 655 3422 60
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93975 4933 32 210 12 0 0 0
OW 0 261 40 232 46 0 0 0
VODI 0 128 24 372 218 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 80 471 130 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 684 2631 900 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 760 2899 60

Date: 2019-08-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95948 3374 36 129 14 0 0 0
OW 5 186 39 281 40 0 0 0
VODI 0 21 9 347 245 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 35 564 156 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 825 2810 268 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1661 2099 1
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95925 3117 29 172 17 0 0 0
OW 25 285 37 198 58 0 0 0
VODI 3 179 17 298 210 23 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 124 447 152 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 956 2760 739 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1696 1624 1

Date: 2019-08-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95679 3767 24 81 25 0 0 0
OW 0 249 32 252 83 0 0 0
VODI 0 61 4 210 345 7 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 57 434 228 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 227 2777 1230 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 793 2334 200
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95679 3387 25 132 37 0 0 0
OW 0 361 18 135 88 0 0 0
VODI 0 295 14 187 214 10 0 0
ODI 0 34 3 144 402 139 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 373 2605 1749 2
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1051 1814 198


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