Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2019-08-22

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-08-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13728 6692 40 91 0 0 0 0
OW 0 266 52 318 35 0 0 0
VODI 0 49 14 629 941 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 43 3415 813 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1288 2926 114 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 382 232 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-08-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15531 5336 25 43 0 0 0 0
OW 0 389 49 314 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 74 25 898 1276 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 72 3185 618 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1595 2133 87 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 154 265 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-08-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15691 5759 75 159 0 0 0 0
OW 0 123 36 447 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 3 683 572 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 48 4760 323 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 540 2231 70 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 130 424 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-08-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15420 6264 76 151 0 0 0 0
OW 2 206 32 450 15 0 0 0
VODI 0 37 15 983 830 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 241 3921 202 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 966 1753 7 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 281 230 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15422 6304 77 178 0 0 0 0
OW 0 174 36 410 22 0 0 0
VODI 0 29 10 940 654 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 297 3964 201 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1092 1746 7 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 289 230 0

Date: 2019-08-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15403 6320 52 82 0 0 0 0
OW 1 299 55 419 15 0 0 0
VODI 0 42 20 1562 547 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 541 3385 25 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1380 1398 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 489 47 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15404 6398 66 153 0 0 0 0
OW 0 238 43 349 20 0 0 0
VODI 0 25 17 1400 546 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 702 3198 15 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1563 1387 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 510 47 0

Date: 2019-08-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15489 6125 30 43 0 0 0 0
OW 0 258 77 277 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 8 6 1745 280 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 126 3941 158 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 338 2703 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 430 47 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15489 6104 52 134 1 0 0 0
OW 0 260 48 348 59 0 0 0
VODI 0 26 11 1148 979 54 0 0
ODI 0 1 2 561 2371 659 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1150 1844 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 734 47 0

Date: 2019-08-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15609 5805 47 116 12 0 0 0
OW 0 196 60 358 84 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 3 896 1159 210 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 64 3262 563 91 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 455 1732 822 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 535 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15609 5740 58 198 38 0 0 0
OW 0 224 35 323 216 6 0 0
VODI 0 40 16 467 1442 401 12 0
ODI 0 0 1 446 2249 377 356 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1027 1525 545 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 731 0 0

Date: 2019-08-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16117 5443 26 67 0 0 0 0
OW 0 341 72 322 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 29 25 1145 1221 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 117 3314 273 109 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 335 1729 837 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 539 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16117 5428 52 185 5 0 0 0
OW 0 302 51 327 99 0 0 0
VODI 0 83 19 891 1533 26 2 0
ODI 0 0 1 247 2427 269 156 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 827 1550 788 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 696 0 0


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