Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2019-08-15

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-08-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8545 8221 31 122 26 0 0 0
OW 0 1691 111 402 43 0 0 0
VODI 0 132 39 931 555 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 63 1542 2561 327 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 152 3589 2995 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-08-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10219 7375 24 91 5 0 0 0
OW 10 1871 59 262 20 0 0 0
VODI 0 202 52 855 381 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 182 3474 956 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 823 3864 1355 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-08-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11271 8600 46 97 5 0 0 0
OW 19 228 47 295 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 35 16 681 383 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 60 3475 498 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1237 3904 67 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 47 928 136 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-08-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14312 5946 45 70 0 0 0 0
OW 0 227 45 331 38 0 0 0
VODI 0 30 18 654 719 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 25 3403 782 12 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 949 3354 375 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 300 447 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14312 5922 47 109 14 0 0 0
OW 0 228 43 276 48 0 0 0
VODI 0 53 18 628 798 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 67 3195 1109 34 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1054 2998 322 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 329 478 0

Date: 2019-08-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14507 6159 34 54 0 0 0 0
OW 0 342 49 312 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 58 23 830 1028 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 62 3512 550 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1615 2368 63 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 241 265 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14507 6172 41 110 1 0 0 0
OW 0 284 37 276 39 0 0 0
VODI 0 103 29 752 1104 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 120 3429 509 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1591 2386 52 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 264 276 0

Date: 2019-08-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15692 5652 63 103 0 0 0 0
OW 0 137 34 417 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 11 7 804 291 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 11 5176 171 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 501 2308 115 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 75 514 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15692 5294 28 94 4 0 0 0
OW 0 374 38 332 39 0 0 0
VODI 0 132 38 769 1633 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 140 2594 695 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1698 1784 316 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 71 304 0

Date: 2019-08-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15269 6293 71 165 0 0 0 0
OW 2 170 33 440 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 12 8 894 561 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 313 3987 569 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 361 2300 93 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 197 339 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15271 5874 43 160 0 0 0 0
OW 0 387 25 366 47 0 0 0
VODI 0 214 44 1132 1556 16 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 154 2279 594 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1032 2402 225 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 54 207 0

Date: 2019-08-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15587 6185 63 109 0 0 0 0
OW 2 241 37 449 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 55 19 1290 735 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 213 3729 85 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1216 1544 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 506 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15589 5774 41 164 0 0 0 0
OW 0 418 34 348 50 0 0 0
VODI 0 289 44 1249 1500 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 299 2312 139 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 1835 1779 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 217 0 0


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