Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2019-08-08

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-08-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93718 4587 35 167 8 0 0 0
OW 0 156 35 372 57 0 0 0
VODI 0 13 14 729 572 33 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 66 616 407 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 116 3361 1696 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 108 1646 587
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-08-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93998 4399 32 139 5 0 0 0
OW 0 262 43 405 61 0 0 0
VODI 0 32 24 677 514 38 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 99 629 408 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 94 4540 948 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 87 1587 78
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-08-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93824 4909 46 105 1 0 0 0
OW 0 143 36 351 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 8 13 610 319 10 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 47 729 299 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 72 4613 1130 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 339 1448 27
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-08-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93638 5051 52 239 3 0 0 0
OW 0 101 28 354 37 0 0 0
VODI 0 10 17 550 368 18 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 35 575 499 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 73 4264 2203 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 160 825 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93638 5030 52 297 2 0 0 0
OW 0 116 25 277 32 0 0 0
VODI 0 16 20 545 370 25 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 59 545 447 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 107 4067 2056 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 402 972 0

Date: 2019-08-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93403 5258 44 245 4 0 0 0
OW 0 126 27 343 77 0 0 0
VODI 0 50 13 430 389 44 0 0
ODI 0 6 11 69 512 446 83 0
CDI 0 0 0 15 129 3820 2944 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 108 504 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93403 5244 46 297 10 0 0 0
OW 0 139 22 245 65 2 0 0
VODI 0 47 15 455 387 39 0 0
ODI 0 10 12 77 485 427 73 0
CDI 0 0 0 28 163 3642 2886 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 308 572 0

Date: 2019-08-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93721 4994 42 205 4 0 0 0
OW 0 113 33 265 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 10 12 569 189 7 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 50 681 112 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 113 2582 809 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 309 3489 774
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93721 4833 41 325 13 0 0 0
OW 0 160 18 255 91 2 0 0
VODI 0 92 9 384 378 36 1 0
ODI 0 27 10 74 356 576 56 0
CDI 0 5 9 51 150 2013 4031 774
VCDI 0 0 0 0 16 383 210 0

Date: 2019-08-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94648 4017 46 235 1 0 0 0
OW 0 68 31 370 9 2 0 0
VODI 0 31 2 463 276 13 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 30 531 117 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 153 2688 689 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2848 1823 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94648 3854 29 326 7 0 0 0
OW 0 145 26 322 95 6 0 0
VODI 0 100 6 359 292 23 21 0
ODI 0 17 13 42 379 513 98 0
CDI 0 0 5 49 197 4904 2304 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 222 98 0

Date: 2019-08-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94541 4140 46 213 0 0 0 0
OW 0 111 41 387 13 1 0 0
VODI 0 29 4 441 284 14 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 70 470 79 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 290 2776 519 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1677 2952 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94541 3907 47 341 29 0 0 0
OW 0 170 11 349 96 10 0 0
VODI 0 123 11 311 240 38 13 0
ODI 0 65 6 41 457 296 217 0
CDI 0 15 16 69 235 4152 3105 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 51 138 0


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