Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2019-08-08

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-08-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6358 7524 60 203 33 0 0 0
OW 0 1370 167 1115 39 0 0 0
VODI 0 118 43 2278 769 11 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 28 1875 890 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 565 5844 1098 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 737 948 9
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-08-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6039 8287 68 214 38 0 0 0
OW 0 1753 155 1187 81 0 0 0
VODI 0 131 53 1705 702 15 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 61 2388 859 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 757 5639 430 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 821 699 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-08-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6242 9615 67 160 22 0 0 0
OW 1 1075 159 796 38 0 0 0
VODI 0 62 25 1647 361 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 18 3155 628 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 251 6260 833 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 384 283 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-08-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7666 8728 57 173 19 0 0 0
OW 0 1375 150 620 58 0 0 0
VODI 0 91 29 1110 581 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 17 1548 2072 560 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 175 5257 1796 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7666 9370 82 234 28 0 0 0
OW 0 772 121 744 53 0 0 0
VODI 0 52 33 922 614 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 20 1548 2090 514 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 138 5197 1765 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 39 77 0

Date: 2019-08-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9768 7394 26 103 46 0 0 0
OW 16 1819 81 293 25 0 0 0
VODI 0 173 52 954 368 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 155 2859 1547 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 247 4676 1478 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9768 8199 37 129 53 0 0 0
OW 16 1073 68 342 22 0 0 0
VODI 0 114 55 835 453 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 196 2731 1382 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 286 4840 1470 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0

Date: 2019-08-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11020 8373 34 84 5 0 0 0
OW 27 431 76 333 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 23 8 810 238 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 34 3717 222 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 380 4834 163 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 96 1157 12
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10958 7782 42 102 6 0 0 0
OW 86 862 33 269 20 0 0 0
VODI 3 178 37 734 580 0 0 0
ODI 0 5 6 150 3014 1515 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 725 3637 1320 12
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2019-08-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13067 7022 48 72 1 0 0 0
OW 0 259 33 306 18 0 0 0
VODI 0 35 26 701 489 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 39 3567 505 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1129 3672 194 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 648 251 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12728 6589 30 71 1 0 0 0
OW 333 492 34 248 28 0 0 0
VODI 6 224 36 659 1134 26 0 0
ODI 0 11 7 127 3086 1487 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 955 3312 444 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2019-08-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13728 6692 40 91 0 0 0 0
OW 0 266 52 318 35 0 0 0
VODI 0 49 14 629 941 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 43 3415 813 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1288 2926 114 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 382 232 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13542 6183 31 125 3 0 0 0
OW 186 512 27 154 112 0 0 0
VODI 0 296 40 664 1575 76 3 0
ODI 0 16 9 129 2946 1352 14 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 1043 2697 338 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0


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