Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2019-08-08

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-08-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14362 8176 64 332 3 0 0 0
OW 17 985 57 582 68 0 0 0
VODI 0 229 55 1464 510 2 0 0
ODI 0 5 6 356 3030 407 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 57 1595 9347 2601 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 117 105 1159 173
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-08-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15380 7596 71 334 4 0 0 0
OW 0 921 63 582 96 0 0 0
VODI 0 307 53 1151 671 5 0 0
ODI 0 45 17 577 2370 988 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 60 1151 11261 1427 0
VCDI 0 0 0 14 127 83 511 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-08-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16913 6742 62 283 1 0 0 0
OW 0 888 63 482 52 0 0 0
VODI 0 269 58 1474 622 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 106 2524 557 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 1099 8078 3777 280
VCDI 0 0 0 0 47 273 1200 5
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-08-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16820 7350 67 233 2 0 0 0
OW 0 946 75 476 63 0 0 0
VODI 0 337 55 1273 563 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 95 2785 420 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 1071 8150 3960 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 12 121 977 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16820 7247 68 283 18 0 0 0
OW 0 973 62 388 37 0 0 0
VODI 0 413 67 1228 547 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 178 2709 616 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 1180 7936 3952 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 5 139 985 0

Date: 2019-08-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17042 7516 66 120 13 0 0 0
OW 2 1058 65 402 59 0 0 0
VODI 0 314 40 1097 666 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 105 2640 984 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 783 6631 5401 130
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 119 595 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17014 7587 69 171 30 0 0 0
OW 30 971 57 347 35 0 0 0
VODI 0 330 45 1043 623 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 167 2615 1178 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 858 6434 5353 130
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 121 647 0

Date: 2019-08-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19679 5643 49 110 1 0 0 0
OW 0 984 48 229 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 134 49 1387 348 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 92 3442 184 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 682 6884 1766 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 347 3515 278
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19662 5272 43 147 9 0 0 0
OW 17 1078 40 232 61 0 0 0
VODI 0 401 57 1048 551 0 0 0
ODI 0 10 6 381 2737 1415 4 0
CDI 0 0 1 11 1128 5982 4886 278
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 18 391 0

Date: 2019-08-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20421 5329 40 90 5 0 0 0
OW 0 801 69 305 27 0 0 0
VODI 0 129 46 1306 577 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 126 2811 544 83 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 1236 4982 2949 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 760 3225 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20403 4711 37 102 25 0 0 0
OW 18 1109 44 244 96 0 0 0
VODI 0 380 61 1044 626 13 0 0
ODI 0 59 13 417 2427 1185 767 0
CDI 0 0 0 25 1482 5083 5398 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 5 92 0

Date: 2019-08-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19459 6276 53 140 7 0 0 0
OW 0 799 64 386 31 0 0 0
VODI 0 275 53 1135 584 10 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 171 2482 646 123 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 1388 5206 2428 68
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 658 3115 295
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19394 5838 50 130 43 0 0 0
OW 65 927 45 345 90 11 0 0
VODI 0 507 63 901 647 123 4 0
ODI 0 78 12 457 2305 1835 297 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 1407 4551 5365 363
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0


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