Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2019-08-01

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-07-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4623 7702 103 458 5 0 0 0
OW 0 407 65 846 122 0 0 0
VODI 0 124 30 2124 1441 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 110 3555 758 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1220 7358 999 29
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-07-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4944 7537 91 377 4 0 0 0
OW 0 746 86 917 78 0 0 0
VODI 0 281 67 2456 1262 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 261 3470 1889 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 580 4104 2545 383
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-07-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6236 7232 63 154 15 0 0 0
OW 0 960 146 832 26 0 0 0
VODI 0 92 50 3111 763 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 20 2016 498 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 226 6643 723 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 356 1858 62
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-08-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6227 7462 73 200 23 0 0 0
OW 0 1244 153 1028 41 0 0 0
VODI 0 164 53 2462 825 12 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 13 1725 854 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 412 6405 892 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 703 1111 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6227 7747 114 339 33 0 0 0
OW 0 946 123 1171 40 0 0 0
VODI 0 177 42 2167 685 10 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 26 1833 1065 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 435 6242 766 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 657 1237 0

Date: 2019-08-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5874 8197 74 221 30 0 0 0
OW 0 1532 166 1174 46 0 0 0
VODI 0 71 43 1940 847 14 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 60 2127 954 18 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 551 5362 1165 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1049 567 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5874 8581 100 372 40 0 0 0
OW 0 1138 146 1324 44 0 0 0
VODI 0 81 37 1643 781 15 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 56 2064 901 81 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 672 5455 1077 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1008 592 0

Date: 2019-08-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6504 8823 55 164 21 0 0 0
OW 1 1318 154 594 24 0 0 0
VODI 0 163 51 1955 238 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 31 3448 245 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 238 6840 279 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 824 112 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6505 8602 74 378 44 0 0 0
OW 0 1519 141 1149 107 0 0 0
VODI 0 183 45 1152 671 28 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 65 2210 1026 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 937 5544 298 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1311 86 0

Date: 2019-08-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6379 9761 58 179 26 0 0 0
OW 0 1032 162 884 46 0 0 0
VODI 0 59 21 1391 479 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 28 2345 1565 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 75 6408 1022 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 101 60 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6379 9522 92 534 62 0 0 0
OW 0 1203 106 1035 138 0 0 0
VODI 0 123 40 865 861 29 0 0
ODI 0 4 3 47 1598 1714 27 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 312 5688 942 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 643 114 0

Date: 2019-08-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8545 8221 31 122 26 0 0 0
OW 0 1691 111 402 43 0 0 0
VODI 0 132 39 931 555 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 63 1542 2561 327 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 152 3589 2995 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8545 8309 69 352 57 0 0 0
OW 0 1457 67 429 103 0 0 0
VODI 0 255 38 645 754 213 0 0
ODI 0 21 5 72 1184 1921 289 0
CDI 0 2 2 20 220 4013 2979 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 7 54 0


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