Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2019-07-25

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-07-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89445 7894 77 614 46 1 0 0
OW 0 76 31 359 80 28 0 0
VODI 0 18 4 334 629 76 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 86 924 549 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 75 5636 786 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2 1270 60
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-07-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89604 7927 109 490 49 7 0 0
OW 0 68 17 383 141 20 0 0
VODI 0 10 2 430 700 102 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 174 671 852 51 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 128 4811 1510 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 120 724 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-07-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90563 7141 108 354 55 0 0 0
OW 1 40 20 336 57 12 0 0
VODI 0 1 0 595 442 27 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 128 967 226 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 106 5593 2210 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 4 114 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-07-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90974 6905 79 294 37 8 0 0
OW 0 51 34 342 51 18 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 676 508 46 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 90 718 566 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 86 2646 4041 926
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90974 6898 81 329 42 4 0 0
OW 0 57 31 301 85 18 0 0
VODI 0 1 1 673 434 45 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 99 732 496 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 107 2716 4044 925
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 5 1 1

Date: 2019-07-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90037 7979 67 213 28 2 0 0
OW 0 91 43 334 60 21 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 594 695 86 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 75 484 689 192 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 77 2344 4989 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90037 7953 71 251 39 4 0 0
OW 0 117 38 323 80 20 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 562 541 81 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 80 602 565 226 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 82 2472 4955 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2019-07-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90898 7264 47 194 15 0 0 0
OW 0 93 39 264 22 2 0 0
VODI 0 1 4 863 292 33 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 67 1005 115 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 140 3334 1139 196
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 8 2149 916
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90898 7206 51 270 41 2 0 0
OW 0 144 31 411 65 34 0 0
VODI 0 8 8 575 543 107 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 130 572 729 237 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 253 2620 3051 1112
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2019-07-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93435 4842 38 152 11 0 0 0
OW 0 115 47 296 25 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 6 898 445 26 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 43 733 299 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 70 3190 1730 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 340 2088 266
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93435 4798 41 256 25 1 0 0
OW 0 141 40 506 86 28 0 0
VODI 0 21 9 516 561 125 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 106 485 986 283 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 127 2715 3535 266
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2019-08-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93718 4587 35 167 8 0 0 0
OW 0 156 35 372 57 0 0 0
VODI 0 13 14 729 572 33 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 66 616 407 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 116 3361 1696 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 108 1646 587
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93718 4606 47 323 48 4 0 0
OW 0 120 33 445 149 30 0 0
VODI 0 30 4 461 611 179 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 105 423 1078 540 1
CDI 0 0 0 1 138 2618 2802 586
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0


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