Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2019-07-25

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-07-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 100603 24372 356 2779 241 1 0 0
OW 47 1332 173 2536 444 28 0 0
VODI 40 174 37 3150 4398 86 0 0
ODI 0 13 2 243 9033 2458 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 25 1528 24758 2280 0
VCDI 0 0 0 26 469 2018 3276 122
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-07-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 101982 24487 360 2129 365 7 0 0
OW 124 1512 152 2385 767 26 0 0
VODI 24 128 29 2937 5738 174 0 0
ODI 0 10 1 224 6930 4318 117 0
CDI 0 5 3 65 1446 22363 4101 0
VCDI 0 0 0 9 408 591 3129 2
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-07-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 104950 23744 349 1767 183 0 0 0
OW 9 707 149 1727 186 12 0 0
VODI 0 80 33 3771 2579 35 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 282 9095 1154 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 1479 27678 5006 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 333 157 1329 231
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-07-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 105664 24091 304 1454 253 8 0 0
OW 0 984 155 1763 183 20 0 0
VODI 0 272 67 4379 3046 68 0 0
ODI 0 2 1 284 7777 2289 4 0
CDI 0 1 0 12 2449 19374 9258 1928
VCDI 0 0 0 4 348 225 212 169
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 105664 24224 323 1836 286 4 0 0
OW 0 812 119 1844 319 22 0 0
VODI 0 311 84 3739 2989 73 0 0
ODI 0 2 1 459 7066 2622 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 14 3037 18961 9113 1889
VCDI 0 0 0 4 359 302 361 208

Date: 2019-07-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 106039 24664 255 1395 43 2 0 0
OW 0 1476 175 1908 240 21 0 0
VODI 0 340 94 4725 3495 101 0 0
ODI 0 7 1 264 7404 2990 193 0
CDI 0 1 0 4 1594 17957 10632 359
VCDI 0 0 0 4 346 261 58 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 106039 24828 292 1828 82 4 0 0
OW 0 1212 137 2052 406 20 0 0
VODI 0 432 94 3866 3112 108 0 0
ODI 0 15 2 543 7491 3171 228 0
CDI 0 1 0 7 1657 17751 10480 203
VCDI 0 0 0 4 374 278 175 156

Date: 2019-07-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 109971 22721 237 958 24 0 0 0
OW 0 1608 258 1498 61 2 0 0
VODI 0 139 67 6207 1396 35 0 0
ODI 0 13 0 142 6984 580 0 0
CDI 0 2 1 6 1266 19748 4203 366
VCDI 0 0 0 4 47 211 6201 2092
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 109971 22095 283 1503 96 2 0 0
OW 0 1523 151 2073 341 35 0 0
VODI 0 838 127 4276 2557 232 0 0
ODI 0 26 1 951 5434 5761 454 0
CDI 0 1 1 8 1040 14293 9775 2123
VCDI 0 0 0 4 310 253 175 335

Date: 2019-07-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 112894 21043 199 786 41 0 0 0
OW 0 1732 278 2041 120 0 0 0
VODI 0 180 83 5218 2040 33 0 0
ODI 0 8 1 88 5295 1771 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 19 1597 18460 5933 111
VCDI 0 0 0 1 119 1777 4373 807
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 112894 20023 212 1365 177 1 0 0
OW 0 1891 200 2065 373 29 0 0
VODI 0 1034 145 3880 2521 427 0 0
ODI 0 13 4 815 4705 8332 550 0
CDI 0 2 0 16 1164 13065 9756 918
VCDI 0 0 0 12 272 187 0 0

Date: 2019-08-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 114438 20287 159 702 44 0 0 0
OW 17 2511 259 2069 164 0 0 0
VODI 0 360 112 4471 1851 46 0 0
ODI 0 5 6 450 5521 1704 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 58 2276 18552 5395 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 117 950 3753 769
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 114455 19402 202 1276 226 4 0 0
OW 0 2257 174 1892 423 30 0 0
VODI 0 1472 147 3719 2500 483 0 0
ODI 0 29 10 754 5390 8757 948 1
CDI 0 3 3 103 1256 11915 8200 768
VCDI 0 0 0 8 178 63 0 0


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPage.sh Fri 11 Jun 2021 06:04:56 PM UTC on arcval

 
See Met Privacy