Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2019-07-18

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-07-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86972 9581 129 729 268 1 0 0
OW 0 71 25 346 261 2 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 272 740 125 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 8 900 687 84 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 101 2979 762 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2910 1147 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-07-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87756 8884 132 894 159 11 0 0
OW 0 38 18 368 262 25 0 0
VODI 0 0 2 220 920 167 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 13 651 882 15 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 105 3483 880 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1630 1582 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-07-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87456 9459 127 798 65 0 0 0
OW 0 27 17 305 113 12 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 294 434 28 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 26 1288 178 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 162 4238 1810 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1314 949 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-07-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89351 7938 75 626 52 0 0 0
OW 0 81 37 297 108 20 0 0
VODI 0 9 4 367 558 46 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 84 1044 374 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 125 3629 2249 469
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 357 1200 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89351 7952 84 620 73 0 0 0
OW 0 66 28 298 122 18 0 0
VODI 0 10 4 378 501 49 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 78 1049 316 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 142 3533 2142 469
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 510 1307 0

Date: 2019-07-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89465 7978 101 537 46 6 0 0
OW 0 62 19 362 134 20 0 0
VODI 0 13 2 330 718 96 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 110 788 712 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 88 5145 1200 24
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 147 928 59
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89465 7998 107 559 65 6 0 0
OW 0 44 13 344 137 17 0 0
VODI 0 11 2 335 700 93 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 101 773 636 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 99 5213 1109 16
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 161 1029 67

Date: 2019-07-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90177 7429 108 400 37 0 0 0
OW 0 66 22 320 34 9 0 0
VODI 0 1 0 521 400 25 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 132 1141 134 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 116 6693 951 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 205 179 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90177 7417 112 476 76 4 0 0
OW 0 68 17 365 153 20 0 0
VODI 0 10 1 417 756 120 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 115 629 803 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 114 5819 911 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 300 219 0

Date: 2019-07-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90371 7426 82 322 36 8 0 0
OW 0 44 27 357 49 15 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 674 444 36 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 121 849 377 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 103 4733 3014 12
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90371 7403 96 409 79 20 0 0
OW 0 60 12 401 175 30 0 0
VODI 0 7 1 539 650 205 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 125 483 901 72 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 94 4013 2860 12
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 82 0

Date: 2019-07-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89736 8236 74 227 43 5 0 0
OW 0 102 43 294 66 18 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 644 591 69 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 73 536 748 19 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 59 2921 4456 139
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89736 8244 100 308 117 19 0 0
OW 0 89 16 390 170 51 0 0
VODI 0 5 2 443 620 276 5 0
ODI 0 0 0 97 317 1231 68 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 71 2184 4402 139
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0


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