Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2019-07-18

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-07-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1037 7707 114 399 24 0 0 0
OW 0 738 134 1195 162 1 0 0
VODI 0 101 38 1827 1958 42 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 236 4752 482 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 17 352 7859 55 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1875 975 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-07-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1109 8009 105 447 21 0 0 0
OW 0 783 140 1503 323 4 0 0
VODI 0 133 31 1350 2702 38 0 0
ODI 0 5 2 202 4091 533 77 0
CDI 0 0 0 40 544 6995 670 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2083 142 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-07-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 970 8959 132 474 19 0 0 0
OW 0 495 127 1128 71 0 0 0
VODI 0 125 23 1685 1148 14 0 0
ODI 0 6 3 42 5488 400 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 288 8474 397 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1389 220 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-07-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3128 7032 98 545 19 0 0 0
OW 46 776 122 1119 131 0 0 0
VODI 50 126 24 1453 1652 3 0 0
ODI 0 9 2 70 4444 975 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 370 7514 1199 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 746 425 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3139 7213 122 748 37 0 0 0
OW 48 571 101 1206 239 0 0 0
VODI 37 139 20 1136 1917 4 0 0
ODI 0 20 3 97 4029 1018 15 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 394 7576 1270 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 640 342 0

Date: 2019-07-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4164 6440 97 550 26 0 0 0
OW 122 1025 84 1077 197 0 0 0
VODI 38 126 11 1264 2169 5 0 0
ODI 0 13 0 44 3713 1640 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 240 8108 283 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 200 445 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4188 6693 109 829 86 0 0 0
OW 124 772 77 1071 342 0 0 0
VODI 12 114 6 889 2348 2 0 0
ODI 0 25 0 146 3291 1783 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 278 7970 264 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 198 464 0

Date: 2019-07-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5241 6524 91 431 9 0 0 0
OW 35 390 80 696 70 0 0 0
VODI 0 15 4 1449 837 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 38 4226 187 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 209 10267 830 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 90 363 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5192 6318 119 974 124 0 0 0
OW 66 554 54 823 567 0 0 0
VODI 17 41 2 797 3028 101 0 0
ODI 1 16 0 20 1518 3510 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 114 6836 846 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 97 346 0

Date: 2019-07-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5389 6801 117 476 9 0 0 0
OW 3 264 59 791 144 1 0 0
VODI 0 102 22 1850 1248 8 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 118 3498 354 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1038 8893 886 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 11 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5339 6707 125 996 282 0 0 0
OW 34 316 55 876 640 4 0 0
VODI 19 144 18 1327 2897 170 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 36 1725 3218 18 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 393 5864 837 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 42 0

Date: 2019-07-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4623 7702 103 458 5 0 0 0
OW 0 407 65 846 122 0 0 0
VODI 0 124 30 2124 1441 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 110 3555 758 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1220 7358 999 29
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4557 7650 127 1219 410 0 0 0
OW 48 446 53 955 691 9 0 0
VODI 18 137 18 1363 2913 277 7 0
ODI 0 0 0 1 2007 2778 60 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 322 5054 933 29
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0


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