Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2019-07-18

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-07-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4406 10537 191 2144 726 0 0 0
OW 5 110 37 1049 689 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 3 927 1891 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 64 3332 235 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 2535 7467 244 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 582 6082 2609 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-07-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5621 9915 206 2399 530 0 0 0
OW 0 108 43 981 726 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 678 2463 12 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 74 2777 382 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 2841 8557 100 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 513 6672 268 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-07-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6100 10116 216 1994 405 0 0 0
OW 0 111 36 836 245 0 0 0
VODI 0 4 3 1079 1525 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 69 4784 600 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1639 11451 3 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 506 3983 160 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-07-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7878 9331 214 1655 67 0 0 0
OW 0 137 37 1112 140 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 6 1473 1686 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 71 4529 439 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 17 1118 11971 76 0
VCDI 0 0 0 31 506 2739 626 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7878 9344 220 1990 92 0 0 0
OW 0 111 28 922 250 0 0 0
VODI 0 15 9 1242 1625 7 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 155 4164 555 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 1401 11558 75 0
VCDI 0 0 0 37 514 3034 626 0

Date: 2019-07-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7745 9917 178 1544 18 0 0 0
OW 0 350 50 1091 161 1 0 0
VODI 0 13 11 1536 2196 17 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 26 3682 741 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 1010 11604 496 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 340 1099 1998 18
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7745 9967 194 1857 38 0 0 0
OW 0 269 31 1029 263 1 0 0
VODI 0 44 14 1228 1946 15 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 83 3687 852 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 1087 11181 518 0
VCDI 0 0 0 15 386 1413 1976 18

Date: 2019-07-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8462 10096 144 1051 76 0 0 0
OW 0 386 50 503 57 0 0 0
VODI 0 55 25 1459 805 11 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 51 5070 303 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 1070 11651 2480 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 337 174 1525 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8462 10046 160 1463 150 0 0 0
OW 0 395 36 784 589 6 0 0
VODI 0 97 23 744 2389 66 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 27 2802 1612 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 62 1040 10302 2694 0
VCDI 0 0 0 8 445 153 1306 0

Date: 2019-07-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9180 10051 125 889 116 0 0 0
OW 0 460 51 629 30 0 0 0
VODI 0 65 22 1633 1162 17 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 77 3972 939 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 15 726 10379 3505 413
VCDI 0 0 0 0 328 204 247 626
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9180 10019 131 1496 172 0 0 0
OW 0 452 42 863 464 13 0 0
VODI 0 105 25 758 2239 250 3 0
ODI 0 0 0 62 2217 2127 21 0
CDI 0 1 0 50 831 8884 3721 1029
VCDI 0 0 0 14 411 265 11 10

Date: 2019-07-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10860 9055 100 825 29 0 0 0
OW 0 693 69 592 70 2 0 0
VODI 0 148 36 1799 1339 43 0 0
ODI 0 2 1 85 3321 1359 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 10 511 9181 4645 404
VCDI 0 0 0 4 268 358 39 17
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10860 9143 137 1579 130 0 0 0
OW 0 499 39 750 472 33 0 0
VODI 0 201 24 892 2220 332 0 0
ODI 0 37 1 57 1754 2274 17 0
CDI 0 19 5 25 563 8062 4666 421
VCDI 0 0 0 12 399 242 1 0


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