Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2019-07-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-07-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1026 5857 98 567 151 4 0 0
OW 5 290 102 950 321 7 0 0
VODI 7 20 19 1178 1642 30 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 122 3987 831 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 1046 8925 239 0
VCDI 0 1 0 0 2 3700 944 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-07-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 641 6700 109 489 61 1 0 0
OW 0 427 123 1115 290 9 0 0
VODI 0 40 25 1155 1998 53 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 232 3841 1085 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 1549 7324 270 0
VCDI 0 1 0 0 1 4044 483 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-07-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1008 6966 101 443 20 0 0 0
OW 0 527 144 860 176 0 0 0
VODI 0 50 21 1556 1690 17 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 196 5149 495 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 19 714 7580 582 0
VCDI 0 1 0 0 15 3354 396 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-07-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1018 7533 112 389 20 0 0 0
OW 0 726 124 1008 158 3 0 0
VODI 0 85 40 1988 1719 47 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 319 4845 408 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 13 580 7078 741 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 5 1761 1361 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1018 7723 141 490 38 0 0 0
OW 0 540 100 945 178 8 0 0
VODI 0 80 35 2008 1899 65 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 256 4371 484 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 18 833 6890 696 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 8 1850 1406 0

Date: 2019-07-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1117 7833 113 384 18 0 0 0
OW 0 791 144 1409 190 1 0 0
VODI 0 124 34 1594 2314 26 0 0
ODI 0 7 2 232 4397 519 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 47 296 7956 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2468 66 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1117 8007 145 567 26 0 0 0
OW 0 607 110 1262 340 3 0 0
VODI 0 130 36 1578 2430 37 0 0
ODI 0 11 2 199 4039 831 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 60 378 7630 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 2469 66 0

Date: 2019-07-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1166 8504 129 410 16 0 0 0
OW 0 554 120 964 71 0 0 0
VODI 0 44 15 1955 806 10 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 74 6053 141 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 172 8164 683 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1567 464 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1166 8271 139 783 138 0 0 0
OW 0 700 96 1309 788 5 0 0
VODI 0 118 26 1090 2505 65 0 0
ODI 0 13 3 184 3517 990 336 0
CDI 0 0 0 37 170 6977 700 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1845 111 0

Date: 2019-07-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1294 8756 105 504 23 0 0 0
OW 0 596 122 1197 83 0 0 0
VODI 0 142 25 1638 1433 5 0 0
ODI 0 12 2 46 4981 588 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 536 8099 480 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1075 336 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1289 8498 123 1068 194 0 0 0
OW 5 737 92 1503 1042 4 0 0
VODI 0 187 32 734 2333 74 0 0
ODI 0 79 5 66 3174 1660 56 0
CDI 0 5 2 15 313 6896 292 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1133 471 0

Date: 2019-07-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3246 7114 101 548 12 0 0 0
OW 47 1011 91 1120 167 0 0 0
VODI 40 144 22 1291 1835 0 0 0
ODI 0 13 1 100 4027 1290 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 371 7878 731 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 250 569 62
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3242 6927 120 1333 393 0 0 0
OW 91 927 74 1118 1277 0 0 0
VODI 0 353 17 565 2286 244 0 0
ODI 0 75 4 43 2337 2392 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 119 6462 361 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 320 939 62


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