Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2019-07-04

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-06-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 188 5039 164 968 298 52 0 0
OW 0 194 71 936 684 65 0 0
VODI 0 16 7 537 1904 243 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 152 2219 1190 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 784 8497 426 0
VCDI 0 1 0 0 200 4426 2498 317
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-06-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 191 5499 157 936 330 31 0 0
OW 0 233 77 1022 680 83 0 0
VODI 0 29 6 472 2020 342 0 0
ODI 0 4 0 126 1918 1542 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 810 8520 573 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 100 3857 2133 386
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-07-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 254 6100 148 725 247 5 0 0
OW 0 167 72 782 375 6 0 0
VODI 0 19 10 685 1473 59 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 59 3749 626 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 1113 9809 227 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 4 3375 1911 81
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-07-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 281 6416 121 608 182 3 0 0
OW 0 241 96 884 331 3 0 0
VODI 0 30 13 1050 1571 39 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 95 4006 638 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 1398 8984 243 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 4 3451 1350 40
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 281 6410 135 697 256 4 0 0
OW 0 239 74 804 310 10 0 0
VODI 0 38 21 996 1536 43 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 138 4013 798 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 1370 8738 261 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 7 3525 1332 40

Date: 2019-07-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 622 6452 104 541 99 2 0 0
OW 0 403 114 1027 287 5 0 0
VODI 0 40 18 1234 1794 36 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 150 4108 738 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 1089 8269 318 0
VCDI 0 1 0 0 1 4080 543 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 622 6445 123 683 176 3 0 0
OW 0 398 90 910 265 3 0 0
VODI 0 52 22 1161 1695 65 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 195 4095 976 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 1145 7964 371 0
VCDI 0 1 0 0 2 4119 490 0

Date: 2019-07-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 976 6634 112 455 20 1 0 0
OW 0 429 120 819 124 2 0 0
VODI 0 27 25 1570 1259 5 0 0
ODI 0 2 0 133 5662 423 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 756 8351 217 0
VCDI 0 1 0 0 0 3667 292 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 976 6520 123 723 162 3 0 0
OW 0 471 93 826 349 2 0 0
VODI 0 98 40 1144 1989 98 0 0
ODI 0 3 1 283 3697 1508 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 1619 6840 205 0
VCDI 0 1 0 0 5 3998 304 0

Date: 2019-07-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1016 7248 111 428 31 0 0 0
OW 0 626 133 869 179 2 0 0
VODI 0 67 23 1837 1745 33 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 294 4915 468 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 626 7373 554 0
VCDI 0 1 0 0 14 3075 395 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1016 6902 116 681 184 0 0 0
OW 0 784 87 766 443 3 0 0
VODI 0 252 63 1366 1963 152 0 0
ODI 0 4 1 542 3265 1394 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 91 1644 5978 391 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 11 3424 558 0

Date: 2019-07-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1037 7707 114 399 24 0 0 0
OW 0 738 134 1195 162 1 0 0
VODI 0 101 38 1827 1958 42 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 236 4752 482 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 17 352 7859 55 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1875 975 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1037 7193 118 791 189 0 0 0
OW 0 926 88 824 589 9 0 0
VODI 0 370 67 1515 1905 166 0 0
ODI 0 57 12 393 3187 1483 0 0
CDI 0 1 2 144 1375 6274 48 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 3 2327 982 0


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