Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2019-07-04

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-06-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82118 26182 574 3317 810 67 0 0
OW 4 440 164 3009 2136 89 0 0
VODI 0 53 20 1449 6596 636 2 0
ODI 0 54 15 313 4617 2165 14 0
CDI 0 14 6 108 2832 13350 1384 0
VCDI 0 1 0 0 937 13071 16995 3506
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-06-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83840 26203 498 3171 1127 43 0 0
OW 7 625 189 2702 2970 122 0 0
VODI 0 180 36 1263 5822 955 0 0
ODI 0 115 14 412 3927 2162 37 0
CDI 0 51 7 127 3881 13787 900 0
VCDI 0 29 0 35 1220 15806 13425 1360
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-07-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85836 26385 492 2963 795 11 0 0
OW 1 585 188 2642 1448 39 0 0
VODI 0 91 44 2175 4907 153 0 0
ODI 0 18 7 352 7942 1137 0 0
CDI 0 0 3 67 3925 15971 477 0
VCDI 0 1 0 8 211 16027 11461 686
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-07-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85915 27751 462 3074 837 26 0 0
OW 0 724 197 2942 1979 60 0 0
VODI 0 96 43 2236 4551 284 0 0
ODI 0 14 4 325 7342 1410 1 0
CDI 0 1 1 81 4924 14414 434 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 318 18839 7616 147
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85915 27774 480 3675 1148 32 0 0
OW 0 678 164 2317 1795 66 0 0
VODI 0 113 57 2206 4441 334 0 0
ODI 0 18 4 371 7342 1606 1 0
CDI 0 3 2 89 4936 14021 431 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 289 18974 7619 147

Date: 2019-07-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88331 27087 435 3055 898 18 0 0
OW 0 1037 205 3111 2122 65 0 0
VODI 0 116 64 2001 4302 370 0 0
ODI 0 13 7 278 7214 1565 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 33 4848 14033 934 0
VCDI 0 1 0 1 266 21612 3017 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88331 27147 461 3987 1455 23 0 0
OW 0 929 173 2216 1698 86 0 0
VODI 0 158 69 1897 4199 481 0 0
ODI 0 17 6 333 6982 1750 3 0
CDI 0 2 2 45 5091 13610 886 0
VCDI 0 1 0 1 225 21713 3071 0

Date: 2019-07-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89249 28104 467 2936 696 9 0 0
OW 0 944 220 2105 849 12 0 0
VODI 0 66 42 2685 3186 46 0 0
ODI 0 2 0 307 11751 908 1 0
CDI 0 1 0 3 3456 17704 478 0
VCDI 0 1 0 1 379 18250 2190 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89249 27896 489 3999 2339 23 0 0
OW 0 984 167 1669 1516 60 0 0
VODI 0 193 67 1842 4289 540 0 0
ODI 0 39 4 460 6221 2098 1 0
CDI 0 5 2 66 5548 13829 465 0
VCDI 0 1 0 1 404 20379 2203 0

Date: 2019-07-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90401 28733 475 3162 926 9 0 0
OW 0 903 221 2236 1098 9 0 0
VODI 0 76 31 2617 4243 77 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 365 9483 1710 18 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 2739 17766 1323 0
VCDI 0 1 0 0 456 14862 3089 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90401 28152 480 4167 2286 20 0 0
OW 0 1188 154 1519 1585 58 0 0
VODI 0 334 87 1890 4518 448 0 0
ODI 0 39 6 687 5250 2262 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 135 4796 15165 1135 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 510 16480 3295 0

Date: 2019-07-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92415 27825 434 3272 1018 1 0 0
OW 5 919 196 2590 1112 3 0 0
VODI 0 101 41 3026 4589 168 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 308 8984 1404 84 0
CDI 0 1 0 17 2988 18305 1061 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 582 10867 4731 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92408 27025 416 4603 2184 9 0 0
OW 12 1282 152 1665 1804 84 0 0
VODI 0 451 86 2168 4189 395 0 0
ODI 0 87 16 610 5175 2286 23 0
CDI 0 1 2 160 5244 15314 834 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 677 12660 5019 0


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPage.sh Fri 11 Jun 2021 05:44:06 PM UTC on arcval

 
See Met Privacy