Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2019-06-27

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-06-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 35 3283 95 594 213 0 0 0
OW 0 202 65 759 519 12 0 0
VODI 0 42 9 470 1773 107 0 0
ODI 0 35 0 175 2131 1274 0 0
CDI 0 10 1 36 2184 5384 226 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 175 4145 5954 2173
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-06-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 49 3704 103 681 327 40 3 0
OW 0 328 68 729 741 42 0 0
VODI 0 116 22 428 1950 388 5 0
ODI 0 22 1 151 1488 1333 42 0
CDI 0 0 0 20 1397 5773 496 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 414 5744 3805 1672
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-06-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 51 4406 134 800 227 46 0 0
OW 0 202 71 854 378 14 0 0
VODI 0 26 9 664 1592 62 3 0
ODI 0 5 0 99 2610 638 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 907 8618 296 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 490 3995 2822 2036
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-06-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 196 4855 151 904 242 43 0 0
OW 0 240 66 899 559 26 0 0
VODI 0 18 14 586 2043 81 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 123 2373 930 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 24 1059 8261 381 0
VCDI 0 1 0 0 284 4409 2798 516
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 196 4807 151 947 300 45 0 0
OW 0 261 64 765 544 22 0 0
VODI 0 45 16 683 1962 90 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 116 2287 1013 15 0
CDI 0 0 0 25 1203 8037 346 0
VCDI 0 1 0 0 264 4543 2818 516

Date: 2019-06-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 189 5266 154 940 342 47 0 0
OW 0 202 72 965 720 78 0 0
VODI 0 13 7 461 1985 342 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 130 1875 1551 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 695 8602 524 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 95 4248 2279 293
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 189 5204 157 965 416 52 0 0
OW 0 239 67 862 698 80 0 0
VODI 0 38 9 535 1811 404 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 130 1768 1478 11 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 934 8491 437 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 85 4363 2358 293

Date: 2019-07-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 205 5835 170 793 236 8 0 0
OW 0 175 78 728 231 24 0 0
VODI 0 13 6 829 1074 80 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 63 3925 559 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 692 10458 267 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 7 3140 2173 313
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 205 5677 178 1011 438 29 0 0
OW 0 318 59 760 687 79 0 0
VODI 0 28 17 536 1918 426 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 97 1992 1410 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 1074 8647 460 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 56 3678 1980 313

Date: 2019-07-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 262 6307 125 668 208 1 0 0
OW 0 253 84 826 320 1 0 0
VODI 0 17 14 943 1474 41 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 99 3890 543 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 1534 9253 129 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 0 3513 1553 22
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 262 6151 144 996 488 1 0 0
OW 0 378 56 708 741 41 0 0
VODI 0 48 23 661 2145 324 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 168 2266 1370 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 1769 7804 336 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 17 3812 1346 22

Date: 2019-07-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1026 5857 98 567 151 4 0 0
OW 5 290 102 950 321 7 0 0
VODI 7 20 19 1178 1642 30 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 122 3987 831 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 1046 8925 239 0
VCDI 0 1 0 0 2 3700 944 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1026 5684 127 1074 530 12 0 0
OW 5 435 72 771 804 27 0 0
VODI 7 48 20 798 2154 279 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 163 2438 1433 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 22 1183 7928 573 0
VCDI 0 1 0 0 40 3818 610 0


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