Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2019-06-13

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-06-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77366 14059 222 993 186 28 0 0
OW 24 89 50 550 301 31 0 0
VODI 0 22 5 213 756 175 25 0
ODI 0 5 6 22 552 848 178 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 266 2216 1422 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 378 3234 4860
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-06-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77448 14217 198 983 168 22 7 0
OW 20 106 43 466 445 37 12 0
VODI 0 26 6 203 717 307 39 0
ODI 0 5 6 23 485 1010 196 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 232 1904 1628 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 222 1749 6156
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-06-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77555 14177 185 830 137 12 8 0
OW 23 88 48 530 249 8 3 0
VODI 0 14 5 265 670 51 10 0
ODI 0 0 4 25 864 564 28 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 251 2697 950 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 146 3717 4974
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-06-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78583 13337 201 829 100 17 4 0
OW 18 58 39 619 286 14 7 0
VODI 0 16 2 246 894 62 14 0
ODI 0 0 0 28 1054 613 22 0
CDI 0 0 0 57 343 2754 422 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 563 4416 3482
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78582 13340 204 914 119 17 5 0
OW 19 59 36 517 256 14 8 0
VODI 0 12 2 259 887 56 13 0
ODI 0 0 0 34 992 503 29 0
CDI 0 0 0 55 423 2746 393 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 687 4437 3482

Date: 2019-06-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78236 13629 203 1044 92 3 15 0
OW 16 60 34 622 356 11 11 0
VODI 0 12 3 260 1104 93 19 0
ODI 0 0 0 30 1195 511 36 0
CDI 0 0 0 67 337 2313 606 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 448 3692 4042
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78236 13636 212 1086 135 3 17 0
OW 16 58 25 550 320 14 12 0
VODI 0 7 3 287 1038 70 19 0
ODI 0 0 0 40 1160 461 39 0
CDI 0 0 0 60 431 2391 655 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 440 3637 4042

Date: 2019-06-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78848 13207 196 884 58 0 8 0
OW 15 59 44 663 162 2 7 0
VODI 0 7 2 536 778 30 9 0
ODI 0 0 0 47 1757 235 15 0
CDI 0 0 0 48 375 2278 306 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 27 329 3640 4528
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78851 13188 192 1076 166 4 17 0
OW 12 76 47 570 357 30 17 0
VODI 0 9 3 430 1185 93 32 0
ODI 0 0 0 42 981 383 103 0
CDI 0 0 0 60 432 1943 612 22
VCDI 0 0 0 0 36 421 3204 4506

Date: 2019-06-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79088 13107 196 1001 69 0 6 0
OW 9 66 40 699 217 6 10 0
VODI 0 3 1 394 1325 67 8 0
ODI 0 0 0 31 1390 426 13 0
CDI 0 4 2 65 569 1588 282 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 350 4486 3582
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79088 13063 183 1172 202 4 20 0
OW 9 108 48 589 507 42 8 0
VODI 0 5 6 323 1302 145 33 0
ODI 0 0 0 34 834 422 130 2
CDI 0 4 2 72 725 1421 509 31
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 403 4105 3549

Date: 2019-06-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79526 12886 193 1079 61 4 10 0
OW 8 70 43 816 276 7 2 0
VODI 0 2 3 422 1579 88 7 0
ODI 0 0 2 41 1389 384 15 0
CDI 0 18 7 91 787 998 133 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 756 5293 2104
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79527 12818 187 1246 337 10 18 0
OW 7 133 44 656 677 37 8 0
VODI 0 6 8 391 987 127 25 0
ODI 0 1 1 51 1116 375 90 0
CDI 0 18 8 105 969 998 252 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 6 690 5067 2104


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