Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2019-06-13

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-06-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7 1446 60 363 88 10 0 0
OW 0 184 27 308 262 27 1 0
VODI 0 105 17 252 634 184 23 0
ODI 0 57 10 123 530 663 132 0
CDI 0 3 4 66 547 1664 1220 0
VCDI 0 0 0 9 244 1895 11332 9585
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-06-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4 1490 61 440 132 5 1 0
OW 0 218 27 252 370 32 1 0
VODI 0 133 28 231 625 282 34 0
ODI 0 31 9 130 487 1036 198 0
CDI 0 1 1 72 501 1482 1860 0
VCDI 0 1 0 6 361 1489 9305 10746
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-06-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1 1958 79 494 99 2 1 0
OW 0 99 30 318 166 4 1 0
VODI 0 45 17 310 723 74 2 0
ODI 0 28 9 176 857 441 30 0
CDI 0 89 10 471 1053 2658 676 0
VCDI 0 14 0 103 790 3403 8771 8080
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-06-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1957 97 555 89 4 1 0
OW 0 106 31 364 350 3 0 0
VODI 0 28 11 347 887 77 5 0
ODI 0 0 0 198 849 713 51 0
CDI 0 50 3 583 1756 2164 624 0
VCDI 0 3 0 254 958 5009 8898 5057
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1992 102 580 115 2 1 0
OW 0 73 27 369 321 15 0 0
VODI 0 26 10 315 937 102 2 0
ODI 0 0 0 213 789 786 62 0
CDI 0 44 1 547 1763 1962 502 0
VCDI 0 9 2 277 964 5103 9012 5057

Date: 2019-06-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2102 111 493 119 2 1 0
OW 0 202 28 383 432 46 0 0
VODI 0 50 26 333 944 180 1 0
ODI 0 15 0 221 1049 917 82 0
CDI 0 36 0 374 2752 2329 403 0
VCDI 0 2 0 32 685 6932 9153 1647
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2157 109 512 180 9 1 0
OW 0 147 34 336 392 67 0 0
VODI 0 51 22 372 950 200 6 0
ODI 0 8 0 222 922 799 84 0
CDI 0 42 0 362 2700 2323 363 0
VCDI 0 2 0 32 837 7008 9186 1647

Date: 2019-06-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2418 109 489 88 2 1 0
OW 0 179 44 488 209 17 0 0
VODI 0 5 7 626 960 43 0 0
ODI 0 1 3 127 2510 583 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 104 2667 4963 77 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 1053 3240 8958 2109
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2380 95 608 242 20 1 0
OW 0 169 42 421 461 64 0 0
VODI 0 49 19 475 1134 201 0 0
ODI 0 5 4 149 1257 876 3 0
CDI 0 1 3 110 2802 3616 149 0
VCDI 0 0 0 72 1591 4071 8883 2109

Date: 2019-06-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2893 113 555 134 0 0 0
OW 0 116 51 654 359 12 0 0
VODI 0 14 5 512 1332 74 0 0
ODI 0 9 4 132 2175 1245 18 0
CDI 0 1 0 24 2070 5377 255 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 232 4214 6763 2739
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2717 110 694 356 39 0 0
OW 0 226 28 476 465 94 0 0
VODI 0 70 30 441 1151 364 1 0
ODI 0 12 4 180 1403 1010 69 0
CDI 0 8 1 86 2606 4152 347 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 321 5263 6619 2739

Date: 2019-06-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 35 3283 95 594 213 0 0 0
OW 0 202 65 759 519 12 0 0
VODI 0 42 9 470 1773 107 0 0
ODI 0 35 0 175 2131 1274 0 0
CDI 0 10 1 36 2184 5384 226 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 175 4145 5954 2173
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 35 3022 100 815 468 69 0 0
OW 0 346 36 464 504 98 0 0
VODI 0 144 30 392 1457 239 23 0
ODI 0 44 4 258 1578 555 106 0
CDI 0 16 0 102 2779 4715 290 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 209 5246 5761 2173


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