Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2019-06-13

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-06-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77577 20243 445 2437 767 75 0 0
OW 30 604 115 1462 1154 139 2 0
VODI 0 246 51 887 2847 719 66 0
ODI 0 91 32 334 1738 2252 501 0
CDI 0 57 21 324 1701 5939 3669 1
VCDI 0 0 0 28 475 4434 24022 31563
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-06-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77702 20557 417 2637 940 82 8 0
OW 26 614 111 1175 2024 142 19 0
VODI 0 289 59 789 2678 886 110 0
ODI 0 72 29 356 1668 2853 479 0
CDI 0 51 14 335 2010 5776 4187 5
VCDI 0 80 1 51 642 4764 18755 33655
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-06-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77796 21490 433 2432 711 23 9 0
OW 31 431 143 1523 995 27 5 0
VODI 0 87 33 1097 2951 233 17 0
ODI 0 55 16 338 3049 2083 106 0
CDI 0 111 15 554 2146 8734 2743 0
VCDI 0 14 0 103 1099 5942 20974 28499
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-06-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78787 20765 464 2647 574 44 5 0
OW 27 403 129 1815 1478 41 7 0
VODI 0 91 44 1201 3196 560 27 0
ODI 0 76 9 506 2844 2445 292 0
CDI 0 67 9 737 3114 8257 2030 1
VCDI 0 3 0 254 1366 8107 21268 23358
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78786 20825 479 2944 780 43 6 0
OW 28 330 114 1544 1309 63 8 0
VODI 0 105 42 1153 3115 662 24 0
ODI 0 82 11 530 2738 2284 285 0
CDI 0 54 7 712 3269 7990 1840 1
VCDI 0 9 2 277 1361 8412 21466 23358

Date: 2019-06-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78454 21168 494 3037 614 39 16 0
OW 25 522 102 1895 1762 120 11 0
VODI 0 169 70 1190 3252 1260 56 0
ODI 0 100 12 518 3243 2314 649 0
CDI 0 46 4 542 4553 7808 1793 0
VCDI 0 2 0 113 1263 10839 22025 16968
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78453 21244 504 3304 920 46 18 0
OW 26 426 97 1580 1565 230 12 0
VODI 0 195 62 1206 3102 1352 152 0
ODI 0 90 13 541 3039 1824 336 0
CDI 0 50 6 551 4642 7871 1774 0
VCDI 0 2 0 113 1419 11057 22258 16968

Date: 2019-06-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79061 21615 508 2788 487 6 9 0
OW 27 479 152 2264 665 23 7 0
VODI 0 107 37 2179 2745 128 9 0
ODI 0 45 8 303 6607 1387 15 0
CDI 0 1 0 212 4277 12172 1091 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 1685 6152 23722 16074
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79070 21402 489 3748 1135 210 18 0
OW 18 512 137 1698 1564 506 17 0
VODI 0 248 56 1444 3441 1039 184 0
ODI 0 80 16 459 3197 1871 243 0
CDI 0 5 7 326 4771 8581 1348 22
VCDI 0 0 0 72 2358 7661 23043 16052

Date: 2019-06-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79350 22474 507 3238 609 7 6 0
OW 15 397 159 2458 1079 23 10 0
VODI 0 146 23 1615 4075 337 8 0
ODI 0 24 10 258 5319 3291 105 0
CDI 0 5 2 160 3779 10479 1409 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 780 6781 21029 17081
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79352 21876 477 4086 1549 433 20 0
OW 13 725 120 1506 1741 722 26 0
VODI 0 338 80 1312 3261 1038 201 0
ODI 0 73 16 542 3325 1954 313 2
CDI 0 34 8 281 4806 8606 1918 31
VCDI 0 0 0 2 959 8165 20089 17048

Date: 2019-06-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79871 23245 502 3348 660 17 10 0
OW 13 553 179 2675 1355 42 2 0
VODI 0 132 32 1504 5359 599 7 0
ODI 0 57 4 308 4807 3173 57 0
CDI 0 42 13 218 4039 9478 754 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 1108 7587 21651 13646
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79872 22452 493 4224 2041 491 18 0
OW 12 975 127 1571 1909 606 8 0
VODI 0 402 75 1353 3327 856 71 0
ODI 0 89 17 512 3785 1536 284 0
CDI 0 111 18 390 5028 9020 1314 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 1238 8387 20786 13646


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