Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2019-06-06

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-05-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75947 14269 188 1288 303 46 0 0
OW 43 212 64 873 296 65 0 0
VODI 0 15 15 246 699 154 44 0
ODI 0 8 4 37 520 535 305 0
CDI 0 3 4 46 368 1910 979 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 4 479 4121 5009
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-06-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76899 13781 187 1388 289 70 0 0
OW 41 231 59 524 352 70 9 0
VODI 0 31 18 192 682 233 130 0
ODI 0 9 3 40 402 695 289 0
CDI 0 7 6 33 377 1796 1206 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 392 3511 5146
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-06-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76649 14184 220 1242 245 53 0 0
OW 41 109 63 491 253 32 0 0
VODI 0 16 6 219 634 68 5 0
ODI 0 1 3 33 744 341 88 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 346 2632 1268 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 164 3207 5734
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-06-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77334 13981 199 1005 187 32 0 0
OW 38 111 54 562 248 31 0 0
VODI 0 25 9 210 729 122 13 0
ODI 0 8 5 23 576 700 167 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 265 2256 1584 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 332 3681 4592
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77334 14010 203 1091 215 36 0 0
OW 38 82 53 502 247 34 1 0
VODI 0 23 6 185 727 119 12 0
ODI 0 9 2 20 587 667 221 0
CDI 0 1 3 23 229 2275 1462 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 342 3749 4592

Date: 2019-06-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77344 14200 228 984 196 26 2 0
OW 23 72 34 528 380 33 7 0
VODI 0 21 4 187 747 248 29 0
ODI 0 10 4 21 494 982 181 0
CDI 0 0 2 18 224 2019 1486 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 387 1855 6124
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77344 14219 229 1059 234 29 4 0
OW 23 53 33 459 371 43 7 0
VODI 0 20 4 183 728 232 32 0
ODI 0 11 4 18 504 905 182 0
CDI 0 0 2 19 204 2056 1450 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 430 1885 6124

Date: 2019-06-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77361 14327 187 812 114 15 6 0
OW 24 121 38 515 216 6 2 0
VODI 0 20 11 299 583 41 8 0
ODI 0 0 2 36 869 322 19 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 284 2921 728 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 149 3371 5684
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77366 14334 200 1101 284 23 10 0
OW 19 101 26 357 460 62 17 0
VODI 0 24 7 167 698 358 40 0
ODI 0 9 4 25 426 938 220 0
CDI 0 0 1 21 198 1998 1781 2
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 75 2066 5682

Date: 2019-06-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77701 14107 191 827 111 10 11 0
OW 20 88 40 564 257 9 4 0
VODI 0 19 5 252 777 54 15 0
ODI 0 0 2 29 956 594 38 0
CDI 0 0 0 38 232 2752 779 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 300 4334 3984
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77705 14067 200 1173 355 25 26 0
OW 16 114 26 303 547 71 21 0
VODI 0 25 8 163 791 454 79 0
ODI 0 7 1 25 432 838 233 0
CDI 0 1 3 46 208 2174 1322 8
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 157 3500 3976

Date: 2019-06-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78575 13357 198 956 67 6 14 0
OW 17 59 41 631 297 9 12 0
VODI 0 15 3 288 925 75 16 0
ODI 0 0 0 38 1246 515 21 0
CDI 0 0 0 61 532 2446 385 3
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 826 4614 2849
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78580 13329 219 1325 395 20 29 0
OW 12 97 18 365 590 76 16 0
VODI 0 5 5 210 1069 341 71 0
ODI 0 0 0 26 602 651 127 0
CDI 0 0 0 48 408 2215 518 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 6 574 4301 2852


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