Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2019-06-06

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-05-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 24 726 36 101 19 0 0 0
OW 0 169 31 224 71 24 1 0
VODI 0 98 11 259 326 50 28 0
ODI 0 57 12 145 406 195 80 0
CDI 0 114 13 165 782 1401 1158 0
VCDI 0 123 19 88 458 1773 9368 13527
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-06-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 24 804 21 105 13 0 0 0
OW 0 165 29 274 121 20 1 0
VODI 0 110 12 290 347 69 28 0
ODI 0 72 14 166 502 254 122 0
CDI 0 203 19 197 905 1525 1180 0
VCDI 0 60 11 56 505 3234 10559 10065
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-06-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4 1206 30 126 24 2 0 0
OW 0 286 41 345 112 12 4 0
VODI 0 118 25 375 488 35 22 0
ODI 0 70 13 163 725 241 48 0
CDI 0 24 9 127 791 2070 488 0
VCDI 0 0 0 13 288 2263 12264 9230
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-06-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11 1455 50 267 61 10 0 0
OW 0 176 36 342 220 24 1 0
VODI 0 105 17 268 643 113 24 0
ODI 0 62 12 130 534 565 109 0
CDI 0 9 5 81 584 1672 958 0
VCDI 0 0 0 10 290 2352 11330 9556
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11 1486 65 328 105 10 0 0
OW 0 145 20 304 254 30 6 0
VODI 0 95 17 235 596 164 29 0
ODI 0 67 13 125 532 684 114 0
CDI 0 14 5 92 543 1499 879 0
VCDI 0 0 0 14 302 2349 11394 9556

Date: 2019-06-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4 1462 56 426 123 2 1 0
OW 0 179 32 265 323 23 0 0
VODI 0 110 21 247 642 222 22 0
ODI 0 41 12 130 495 821 147 0
CDI 0 1 2 64 516 1642 1602 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 277 1603 10565 9999
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4 1513 65 501 223 7 1 0
OW 0 136 28 199 311 36 0 0
VODI 0 98 16 230 578 288 43 0
ODI 0 46 12 124 476 906 182 0
CDI 0 0 2 77 510 1423 1456 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 278 1653 10655 9999

Date: 2019-06-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2 1843 75 434 62 1 1 0
OW 0 117 41 338 106 6 0 0
VODI 0 21 15 347 580 40 2 0
ODI 0 12 7 140 1005 366 18 0
CDI 0 31 4 110 866 2804 735 0
VCDI 0 18 4 35 309 1986 9909 9692
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2 1620 71 531 254 12 1 0
OW 0 160 25 237 308 93 9 0
VODI 0 137 22 219 626 400 43 0
ODI 0 65 14 163 471 1019 281 0
CDI 0 16 7 141 592 1558 1291 0
VCDI 0 44 7 113 677 2121 9040 9692

Date: 2019-06-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1969 92 543 74 1 3 0
OW 0 111 21 345 248 5 0 0
VODI 0 48 9 346 824 60 3 0
ODI 0 16 9 214 823 572 37 0
CDI 0 48 3 661 1402 2288 602 0
VCDI 0 5 0 271 882 4463 8513 6571
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1704 70 622 361 11 2 0
OW 0 206 20 220 361 150 3 0
VODI 0 170 19 266 711 654 47 0
ODI 0 58 16 272 433 799 349 0
CDI 0 53 9 507 1184 1751 389 5
VCDI 0 6 0 493 1203 4024 8368 6566

Date: 2019-06-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2055 116 467 92 2 2 0
OW 0 149 33 349 375 56 0 0
VODI 0 44 17 319 899 151 2 0
ODI 0 7 0 120 1064 805 38 0
CDI 0 66 1 160 2143 2767 294 0
VCDI 0 2 0 146 673 7072 9320 2276
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1927 125 616 502 61 1 0
OW 0 169 12 250 503 173 1 0
VODI 0 124 21 212 820 834 31 0
ODI 0 28 8 159 625 715 163 0
CDI 0 66 1 130 1671 2784 357 0
VCDI 0 9 0 194 1125 6286 9103 2276


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