Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2019-05-30

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-05-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73749 15018 220 1208 462 108 1 0
OW 50 166 39 682 503 104 0 0
VODI 0 33 7 337 998 334 20 0
ODI 0 10 4 39 665 580 317 0
CDI 0 1 3 73 458 2059 838 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 79 587 3801 5543
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-05-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74656 14286 202 1229 529 129 6 0
OW 50 209 34 563 738 146 1 0
VODI 0 50 14 261 914 380 138 0
ODI 0 18 7 57 449 737 234 0
CDI 0 0 5 58 280 1750 1486 7
VCDI 0 0 0 9 99 347 3214 5808
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-05-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75289 14238 203 1170 393 52 0 0
OW 50 139 56 798 322 30 0 0
VODI 0 15 6 510 753 100 4 0
ODI 0 1 4 33 684 347 105 0
CDI 0 0 0 63 308 2303 676 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 28 513 5410 4495
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-05-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75560 14424 193 1243 332 45 0 0
OW 44 132 69 977 291 50 1 0
VODI 0 9 10 311 683 132 21 0
ODI 0 2 1 39 573 512 224 0
CDI 0 1 2 59 297 2232 793 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 553 4263 5022
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75560 14453 216 1386 403 52 0 0
OW 44 96 43 787 262 46 3 0
VODI 0 16 13 350 688 104 30 0
ODI 0 2 1 47 531 573 292 0
CDI 0 1 2 59 292 2144 675 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 605 4302 5022

Date: 2019-06-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76665 13848 188 1313 290 59 0 0
OW 42 260 65 670 323 61 1 0
VODI 0 33 14 216 679 203 92 0
ODI 0 11 7 38 490 522 348 0
CDI 0 8 7 34 412 1868 977 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 4 504 4174 4674
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76665 13913 206 1406 353 77 0 0
OW 42 195 45 597 295 53 5 0
VODI 0 32 20 191 681 186 106 0
ODI 0 12 3 41 447 590 358 0
CDI 0 8 7 36 417 1810 961 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 5 501 4162 4674

Date: 2019-06-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76832 13973 206 1169 212 53 0 0
OW 42 176 66 538 180 24 0 0
VODI 0 15 14 340 487 74 3 0
ODI 0 4 5 22 820 240 45 0
CDI 0 0 0 15 404 2352 917 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 549 4221 5102
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76836 13993 235 1481 379 113 1 0
OW 38 138 31 401 340 84 18 0
VODI 0 19 17 138 686 230 218 0
ODI 0 9 3 31 338 685 349 0
CDI 0 9 5 33 360 1729 1689 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 451 2911 5102

Date: 2019-06-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76825 14266 200 1114 204 33 0 0
OW 38 113 51 540 222 39 1 0
VODI 0 18 6 225 692 80 16 0
ODI 0 4 4 29 674 521 136 0
CDI 0 0 0 15 250 2273 1772 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 104 3962 4673
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76838 14226 225 1484 426 117 11 0
OW 25 99 14 271 442 75 65 0
VODI 0 35 12 97 709 310 331 0
ODI 0 26 5 36 232 744 354 0
CDI 0 15 5 35 233 1726 2274 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 78 2852 4673

Date: 2019-06-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77366 14059 222 993 186 28 0 0
OW 24 89 50 550 301 31 0 0
VODI 0 22 5 213 756 175 25 0
ODI 0 5 6 22 552 848 178 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 266 2216 1422 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 378 3234 4860
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77367 14041 242 1356 557 157 32 0
OW 23 59 24 300 481 162 79 0
VODI 0 24 6 83 646 607 146 0
ODI 0 32 3 18 184 871 299 0
CDI 0 19 8 39 193 1748 2011 7
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 131 2292 4853


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