Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2019-05-30

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-05-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13 508 10 78 22 0 0 0
OW 0 50 9 124 53 4 0 0
VODI 0 29 5 117 222 23 3 0
ODI 0 38 5 80 306 105 48 5
CDI 0 37 8 145 559 577 303 41
VCDI 0 73 28 199 611 3094 11169 13381
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-05-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13 528 7 54 11 0 0 0
OW 0 80 17 137 44 7 0 0
VODI 0 62 11 177 170 20 19 0
ODI 0 67 3 121 279 76 80 0
CDI 0 73 15 183 634 687 533 8
VCDI 0 192 30 223 820 3882 10512 12307
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-05-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13 641 19 117 16 0 0 0
OW 0 105 21 191 49 12 0 0
VODI 0 68 7 223 293 25 7 0
ODI 0 44 10 106 416 105 46 0
CDI 0 88 15 176 746 1135 848 0
VCDI 0 139 20 79 452 2390 9857 13603
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-05-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20 672 24 126 20 0 0 0
OW 0 160 30 215 50 20 1 0
VODI 0 91 12 257 283 44 18 0
ODI 0 57 11 103 456 132 71 0
CDI 0 115 13 177 787 1556 981 0
VCDI 0 126 18 85 421 2152 9182 13596
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20 732 37 190 25 4 0 0
OW 0 125 21 208 62 18 2 0
VODI 0 74 8 211 299 50 19 0
ODI 0 45 10 97 416 170 96 0
CDI 0 75 13 152 747 1597 958 0
VCDI 0 170 19 105 468 2065 9178 13596

Date: 2019-06-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 26 765 17 79 18 1 0 0
OW 0 169 29 259 110 14 2 0
VODI 0 94 13 295 331 60 21 0
ODI 0 73 12 172 407 207 129 0
CDI 0 150 14 163 887 1381 1217 0
VCDI 0 107 16 92 421 1812 9236 13283
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 26 848 37 162 30 3 0 0
OW 0 94 11 204 161 14 2 0
VODI 0 86 10 274 287 90 29 0
ODI 0 65 13 153 418 207 203 0
CDI 0 102 13 163 841 1388 1134 0
VCDI 0 163 17 104 437 1773 9237 13283

Date: 2019-06-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 24 1025 28 84 18 2 0 0
OW 0 269 34 274 60 10 1 0
VODI 0 148 25 419 385 32 18 0
ODI 0 78 17 150 885 148 38 0
CDI 0 25 9 105 798 2351 330 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 259 2350 14052 7625
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 24 932 38 204 69 9 0 0
OW 0 107 12 158 208 24 10 0
VODI 0 125 13 245 345 127 68 0
ODI 0 78 16 146 495 434 170 0
CDI 0 189 22 212 722 1659 1002 0
VCDI 0 114 12 73 566 2640 13189 7625

Date: 2019-06-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16 1329 53 187 45 6 0 0
OW 0 234 33 341 184 18 5 0
VODI 0 109 22 315 590 58 18 0
ODI 0 70 15 156 605 432 53 0
CDI 0 22 5 106 695 1813 645 0
VCDI 0 0 0 15 312 2581 12898 8096
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16 986 46 238 205 4 0 0
OW 0 142 18 157 197 54 19 0
VODI 0 174 13 211 360 225 98 0
ODI 0 116 13 180 518 609 289 0
CDI 0 301 30 230 669 1448 1047 4
VCDI 0 45 8 104 482 2568 12166 8092

Date: 2019-06-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7 1446 60 363 88 10 0 0
OW 0 184 27 308 262 27 1 0
VODI 0 105 17 252 634 184 23 0
ODI 0 57 10 123 530 663 132 0
CDI 0 3 4 66 547 1664 1220 0
VCDI 0 0 0 9 244 1895 11332 9585
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7 955 44 328 304 42 7 0
OW 0 166 13 140 116 82 30 0
VODI 0 161 10 204 463 258 146 0
ODI 0 161 19 155 427 793 451 0
CDI 0 341 25 223 625 1348 1458 0
VCDI 0 11 7 71 370 1920 10616 9585


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