Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2019-05-23

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-05-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73849 14494 181 1151 655 94 0 0
OW 55 89 42 435 440 109 0 0
VODI 0 19 3 220 720 434 16 0
ODI 0 19 3 46 642 834 92 0
CDI 0 19 2 37 687 1933 492 0
VCDI 0 13 5 85 320 1360 4813 4692
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-05-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73997 14594 196 1128 678 122 1 0
OW 52 117 36 448 423 153 17 0
VODI 0 21 5 247 642 487 104 0
ODI 0 17 1 38 622 671 166 0
CDI 0 31 6 106 722 1654 964 0
VCDI 0 7 4 81 178 763 4024 5577
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-05-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74949 13905 168 1075 444 100 3 0
OW 51 110 48 592 378 35 9 0
VODI 0 20 4 334 944 145 10 0
ODI 0 16 2 29 1056 453 168 0
CDI 0 7 6 52 576 2125 809 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 47 612 4548 5270
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-05-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74551 14265 186 1150 446 106 0 0
OW 50 146 40 670 480 83 0 0
VODI 0 29 2 378 984 269 22 0
ODI 0 11 5 33 770 535 279 0
CDI 0 1 4 62 450 2016 785 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 57 591 4331 5313
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74551 14265 194 1247 547 114 0 0
OW 50 140 31 602 513 71 0 0
VODI 0 36 3 349 872 260 44 0
ODI 0 10 3 33 747 499 304 0
CDI 0 1 6 59 430 2034 674 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 78 622 4395 5313

Date: 2019-05-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73745 15080 215 1209 515 108 0 0
OW 50 190 34 662 542 125 2 0
VODI 0 44 7 324 962 333 86 0
ODI 0 15 7 60 545 636 351 0
CDI 0 0 5 63 375 1853 1128 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 99 424 3642 5658
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73745 15088 218 1351 614 119 0 0
OW 50 175 32 533 573 107 4 0
VODI 0 51 4 319 857 326 117 0
ODI 0 12 6 47 532 589 307 0
CDI 0 3 8 61 356 1930 1096 0
VCDI 0 0 0 13 106 408 3685 5658

Date: 2019-05-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74653 14540 182 1068 423 94 0 0
OW 50 156 61 696 342 35 0 0
VODI 0 11 11 488 963 97 0 0
ODI 0 1 2 31 785 287 41 0
CDI 0 0 0 42 304 2318 689 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 30 495 5765 4440
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74656 14499 203 1468 802 136 0 0
OW 47 154 34 445 587 142 8 0
VODI 0 39 7 292 710 361 244 0
ODI 0 13 7 43 416 641 225 0
CDI 0 3 5 66 233 1696 1779 0
VCDI 0 0 0 11 99 350 4239 4440

Date: 2019-05-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75299 14447 198 1195 400 56 0 0
OW 47 139 57 865 309 36 4 0
VODI 0 12 13 424 703 121 11 0
ODI 0 2 1 39 618 436 156 0
CDI 0 0 0 63 328 2231 787 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 684 4427 4991
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75302 14281 210 1690 738 163 23 0
OW 44 170 31 503 404 79 59 0
VODI 0 68 9 243 586 419 282 0
ODI 0 35 4 35 289 701 177 0
CDI 0 44 12 50 239 1788 1481 0
VCDI 0 2 3 65 103 414 3363 4991

Date: 2019-05-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75947 14269 188 1288 303 46 0 0
OW 43 212 64 873 296 65 0 0
VODI 0 15 15 246 699 154 44 0
ODI 0 8 4 37 520 535 305 0
CDI 0 3 4 46 368 1910 979 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 4 479 4121 5009
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75949 14202 214 1851 728 214 72 0
OW 41 139 29 351 354 221 122 0
VODI 0 59 5 157 503 373 346 0
ODI 0 39 5 29 185 615 234 0
CDI 0 53 12 46 331 1550 1612 0
VCDI 0 15 10 56 89 216 3063 5010


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