Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2019-05-23

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-05-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16 525 12 40 21 0 0 0
OW 0 100 5 18 16 0 0 0
VODI 0 59 8 61 41 21 1 0
ODI 0 39 3 45 135 124 24 0
CDI 0 5 4 98 237 444 97 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 587 2905 12684 13706
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-05-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 21 491 10 51 29 0 0 0
OW 0 89 7 36 17 7 0 0
VODI 0 68 3 64 125 36 2 0
ODI 0 53 3 27 175 128 18 0
CDI 0 23 12 95 270 388 72 0
VCDI 0 0 0 40 526 2664 14805 11727
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-05-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17 535 11 65 18 0 0 0
OW 0 72 11 87 40 0 0 0
VODI 0 39 4 105 173 17 0 0
ODI 0 23 3 45 293 98 6 0
CDI 0 7 8 83 434 547 102 1
VCDI 0 0 0 20 655 2742 14710 11111
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-05-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13 505 11 67 18 0 0 0
OW 0 73 9 92 48 3 0 0
VODI 0 29 2 108 216 19 1 0
ODI 0 21 3 78 315 75 37 0
CDI 0 10 7 120 536 637 297 36
VCDI 0 0 0 174 579 2343 14000 11600
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13 527 16 90 31 1 0 0
OW 0 44 3 87 54 1 0 0
VODI 0 34 3 90 221 25 2 0
ODI 0 23 2 79 315 85 51 0
CDI 0 10 8 118 526 617 334 37
VCDI 0 0 0 175 565 2348 13948 11599

Date: 2019-05-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19 516 12 59 10 0 0 0
OW 0 67 9 146 44 5 0 0
VODI 0 41 8 183 151 25 9 0
ODI 0 59 7 93 293 68 77 0
CDI 0 56 10 139 629 605 472 2
VCDI 0 171 31 202 839 4234 12358 10433
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19 532 17 84 28 1 0 0
OW 0 51 4 121 44 5 0 0
VODI 0 48 8 185 161 40 21 0
ODI 0 54 7 93 282 77 86 0
CDI 0 53 9 132 639 589 505 2
VCDI 0 172 32 207 812 4225 12304 10433

Date: 2019-05-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13 599 13 73 10 0 0 0
OW 0 115 21 155 35 5 1 0
VODI 0 76 11 296 199 12 9 0
ODI 0 51 9 110 486 75 36 0
CDI 0 69 15 162 769 1082 465 0
VCDI 0 139 23 97 445 3060 10146 13200
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13 530 15 105 36 5 0 0
OW 0 67 8 84 49 12 0 0
VODI 0 83 11 162 200 38 29 0
ODI 0 77 8 145 204 110 100 0
CDI 0 82 18 188 761 815 948 0
VCDI 0 210 32 209 694 3254 9580 13200

Date: 2019-05-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20 649 21 118 17 0 0 0
OW 0 151 23 209 47 14 0 0
VODI 0 64 13 270 268 32 14 0
ODI 0 44 10 107 408 108 61 0
CDI 0 96 15 180 775 1554 860 0
VCDI 0 127 18 71 408 2237 9467 13606
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20 546 20 105 30 7 0 0
OW 0 112 12 98 48 9 0 0
VODI 0 109 15 197 223 47 29 0
ODI 0 80 13 192 256 116 112 0
CDI 0 125 23 273 829 1392 1327 6
VCDI 0 159 17 90 537 2374 8934 13600

Date: 2019-05-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 24 726 36 101 19 0 0 0
OW 0 169 31 224 71 24 1 0
VODI 0 98 11 259 326 50 28 0
ODI 0 57 12 145 406 195 80 0
CDI 0 114 13 165 782 1401 1158 0
VCDI 0 123 19 88 458 1773 9368 13527
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 24 627 31 93 27 14 3 0
OW 0 102 14 102 73 8 7 0
VODI 0 170 24 204 271 59 61 0
ODI 0 85 14 236 270 118 148 0
CDI 0 193 23 236 896 1642 1405 0
VCDI 0 110 16 111 525 1602 9011 13527


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