Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2019-05-16

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-05-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 245 17 102 18 0 0 0
OW 0 54 7 84 30 4 0 0
VODI 0 15 7 101 101 15 10 0
ODI 0 14 2 88 95 53 30 2
CDI 0 20 9 154 262 173 245 57
VCDI 0 52 7 92 656 2566 13432 13263
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-05-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 258 18 79 30 1 0 0
OW 0 71 5 46 30 6 0 0
VODI 0 12 2 56 106 46 7 0
ODI 0 9 3 53 99 76 40 2
CDI 0 12 6 142 190 269 384 36
VCDI 0 51 8 98 740 2451 13265 13375
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-05-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 361 16 54 36 0 0 0
OW 0 51 11 46 23 0 0 0
VODI 0 23 2 61 65 44 1 0
ODI 0 21 3 32 108 118 6 0
CDI 0 0 3 67 239 429 152 0
VCDI 0 0 0 59 383 2164 12514 14990
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-05-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5 468 9 55 27 0 0 0
OW 0 79 9 24 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 45 6 50 51 25 0 0
ODI 0 29 6 36 151 90 8 0
CDI 0 5 3 66 276 476 55 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 489 2960 12669 13896
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5 482 11 69 29 0 0 0
OW 0 60 7 22 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 47 5 38 51 22 0 0
ODI 0 29 6 30 140 94 13 0
CDI 0 8 4 72 258 447 70 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 513 2988 12649 13896

Date: 2019-05-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 21 524 12 44 23 0 0 0
OW 0 92 9 23 13 1 0 0
VODI 0 68 5 53 81 34 3 0
ODI 0 56 5 30 163 142 13 0
CDI 0 9 7 103 250 391 52 0
VCDI 0 0 0 24 558 2783 13174 13316
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 21 534 16 66 26 0 0 0
OW 0 72 6 16 18 0 0 0
VODI 0 75 3 37 81 42 7 0
ODI 0 49 5 31 142 149 16 0
CDI 0 19 8 107 243 331 62 0
VCDI 0 0 0 20 578 2829 13157 13316

Date: 2019-05-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19 526 14 57 25 0 0 0
OW 0 92 11 59 16 0 0 0
VODI 0 46 4 120 169 14 0 0
ODI 0 25 8 47 306 86 3 0
CDI 0 1 1 93 405 516 90 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 487 2871 16952 9014
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19 468 18 102 47 0 0 0
OW 0 64 3 30 51 3 0 0
VODI 0 64 2 53 130 38 7 0
ODI 0 54 2 47 160 120 51 0
CDI 0 39 12 99 357 302 195 26
VCDI 0 1 1 50 663 3024 16792 8988

Date: 2019-05-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16 516 9 70 16 0 0 0
OW 0 66 12 92 41 1 0 0
VODI 0 33 4 99 194 13 1 0
ODI 0 21 5 39 321 91 18 0
CDI 0 10 6 92 517 601 154 12
VCDI 0 0 0 22 652 2628 14560 11150
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16 436 15 117 60 1 0 0
OW 0 57 2 38 44 2 0 0
VODI 0 54 1 48 143 39 10 0
ODI 0 50 6 41 193 95 87 27
CDI 0 46 10 99 405 421 274 62
VCDI 0 3 2 71 896 2776 14362 11073

Date: 2019-05-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13 508 10 78 22 0 0 0
OW 0 50 9 124 53 4 0 0
VODI 0 29 5 117 222 23 3 0
ODI 0 38 5 80 306 105 48 5
CDI 0 37 8 145 559 577 303 41
VCDI 0 73 28 199 611 3094 11169 13381
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13 404 15 115 71 4 0 0
OW 0 59 2 34 47 9 0 0
VODI 0 51 1 75 117 54 21 0
ODI 0 46 3 67 230 143 95 5
CDI 0 71 13 135 471 504 518 44
VCDI 0 104 31 317 837 3089 10889 13378


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