Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2019-05-09

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-05-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 99 2 10 24 1 0 0
OW 0 9 5 30 29 6 0 0
VODI 0 7 1 27 88 22 1 0
ODI 0 0 1 63 100 92 18 2
CDI 0 0 0 7 172 223 158 95
VCDI 0 0 0 0 401 1661 13602 15126
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-05-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 98 5 29 15 0 0 0
OW 0 4 2 19 48 0 0 0
VODI 0 5 1 34 62 7 5 0
ODI 0 1 4 97 115 45 20 0
CDI 0 0 0 38 303 177 175 51
VCDI 0 0 0 8 482 1889 12379 15964
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-05-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 150 16 106 27 0 0 0
OW 0 1 1 50 77 4 0 0
VODI 0 20 7 106 131 11 10 0
ODI 0 13 3 53 100 38 23 3
CDI 0 14 10 120 224 208 168 51
VCDI 0 23 9 125 342 1762 14032 14044
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-05-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 179 16 128 26 0 0 0
OW 0 9 2 107 50 3 0 0
VODI 0 20 5 87 117 12 15 0
ODI 0 5 1 83 90 52 23 8
CDI 0 31 8 134 235 260 246 57
VCDI 0 55 8 119 474 2068 14715 12634
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 179 18 145 36 0 0 0
OW 0 7 0 91 54 4 0 0
VODI 0 22 5 87 111 10 13 0
ODI 0 5 2 78 89 66 23 11
CDI 0 29 7 121 220 236 251 63
VCDI 0 57 8 136 482 2079 14712 12625

Date: 2019-05-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 276 23 73 25 1 0 0
OW 0 70 7 53 30 5 0 0
VODI 0 11 5 56 138 26 9 0
ODI 0 10 3 59 101 68 29 1
CDI 0 13 6 121 252 271 299 45
VCDI 0 45 7 71 716 2737 13101 13319
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 282 25 90 25 2 0 0
OW 0 66 5 40 24 5 0 0
VODI 0 8 5 51 151 15 8 0
ODI 0 9 3 55 103 92 30 0
CDI 0 14 6 122 197 241 307 50
VCDI 0 46 7 75 762 2753 13093 13315

Date: 2019-05-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 329 12 64 32 0 0 0
OW 0 50 8 48 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 20 5 68 104 10 1 0
ODI 0 18 7 44 201 86 11 0
CDI 0 24 5 94 344 436 137 0
VCDI 0 11 2 47 494 2082 12492 14775
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 303 12 81 42 0 0 0
OW 0 30 6 27 32 0 0 0
VODI 0 26 3 28 108 30 4 0
ODI 0 26 4 20 84 115 55 1
CDI 0 32 8 101 152 234 365 45
VCDI 0 35 6 108 778 2235 12217 14729

Date: 2019-05-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3 406 13 63 29 0 0 0
OW 0 72 9 25 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 32 8 56 70 21 0 0
ODI 0 25 2 31 139 79 7 0
CDI 0 3 3 63 236 445 97 0
VCDI 0 0 0 18 406 2398 13734 13572
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3 344 16 84 37 0 0 0
OW 0 45 6 25 24 1 0 0
VODI 0 50 2 25 65 38 7 0
ODI 0 53 1 7 61 88 37 0
CDI 0 46 10 86 148 287 227 38
VCDI 0 0 0 29 562 2529 13567 13534

Date: 2019-05-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16 525 12 40 21 0 0 0
OW 0 100 5 18 16 0 0 0
VODI 0 59 8 61 41 21 1 0
ODI 0 39 3 45 135 124 24 0
CDI 0 5 4 98 237 444 97 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 587 2905 12684 13706
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16 396 14 45 24 0 0 0
OW 0 95 2 11 15 5 0 0
VODI 0 103 8 37 22 25 9 0
ODI 0 55 1 27 78 84 49 0
CDI 0 77 6 67 180 327 296 41
VCDI 0 2 1 76 718 3053 12452 13665


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