Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2019-05-02

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-04-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 119 6 38 11 0 0 0
OW 0 12 3 46 51 1 0 0
VODI 0 3 0 24 170 49 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 7 79 143 37 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 114 297 338 14
VCDI 0 0 0 0 142 1444 11406 17520
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-04-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 94 4 38 15 0 0 0
OW 0 15 6 45 34 2 0 0
VODI 0 6 1 17 147 37 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 145 120 19 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 134 270 235 36
VCDI 0 0 0 0 233 1432 11164 17833
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-04-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 104 4 33 14 0 0 0
OW 0 10 6 35 24 1 0 0
VODI 0 1 0 27 111 8 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 187 63 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 103 300 68 17
VCDI 0 0 0 0 140 1395 11746 17684
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-05-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 111 2 18 11 0 0 0
OW 0 11 4 29 28 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 2 45 74 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 70 140 38 16 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 191 209 165 18
VCDI 0 0 0 0 351 2299 13842 14390
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 120 6 29 6 0 0 0
OW 0 4 0 20 28 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 2 51 90 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 60 141 51 18 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 173 201 192 21
VCDI 0 0 0 1 357 2295 13813 14387

Date: 2019-05-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 89 1 4 25 0 0 0
OW 0 12 6 21 51 0 0 0
VODI 0 5 2 21 72 8 1 0
ODI 0 4 3 74 120 50 16 1
CDI 0 0 0 18 237 190 189 94
VCDI 0 0 0 0 405 1607 13820 14936
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 92 5 17 20 0 0 0
OW 0 9 1 9 54 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 2 18 72 8 2 0
ODI 0 6 4 74 132 43 15 4
CDI 0 0 0 20 199 171 228 115
VCDI 0 0 0 0 433 1633 13781 14912

Date: 2019-05-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 113 7 48 24 0 0 0
OW 0 9 6 92 42 3 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 139 155 9 2 0
ODI 0 0 0 64 142 35 17 0
CDI 0 0 0 102 256 248 99 28
VCDI 0 0 0 80 301 1659 13702 14700
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 113 5 42 10 0 0 0
OW 0 0 2 11 33 0 0 0
VODI 0 5 2 51 61 5 16 0
ODI 0 4 4 141 91 36 17 10
CDI 0 0 0 100 205 178 243 64
VCDI 0 0 0 180 520 1735 13544 14654

Date: 2019-05-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 152 17 109 49 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 43 96 6 0 0
VODI 0 16 2 100 135 12 13 0
ODI 0 7 1 54 87 67 24 6
CDI 0 28 11 110 217 243 237 59
VCDI 0 36 8 134 419 1952 15129 12503
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 114 8 43 20 0 0 0
OW 0 4 1 15 41 2 5 0
VODI 0 34 8 61 83 10 14 3
ODI 0 3 2 115 97 54 34 29
CDI 0 15 3 96 200 158 258 83
VCDI 0 69 17 220 562 2056 15092 12453

Date: 2019-05-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 245 17 102 18 0 0 0
OW 0 54 7 84 30 4 0 0
VODI 0 15 7 101 101 15 10 0
ODI 0 14 2 88 95 53 30 2
CDI 0 20 9 154 262 173 245 57
VCDI 0 52 7 92 656 2566 13432 13263
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 144 7 35 13 0 0 0
OW 0 31 6 44 13 3 7 0
VODI 0 74 4 89 49 20 16 16
ODI 0 60 9 93 105 47 30 38
CDI 0 28 13 212 263 160 248 70
VCDI 0 63 10 148 719 2581 13416 13198


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