Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2019-04-25

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-04-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 170 4 23 3 0 0 0
OW 0 33 9 29 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 10 3 61 68 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 20 81 60 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 36 191 61 65
VCDI 0 0 0 0 52 595 8527 21962
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-04-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 188 4 24 2 0 0 0
OW 0 42 10 45 22 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 2 81 83 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 24 116 26 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 53 169 88 7
VCDI 0 0 0 0 71 794 8550 21665
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-04-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 176 9 39 6 0 0 0
OW 0 19 4 72 44 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 3 71 162 18 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 23 55 118 52 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 63 323 157 32
VCDI 0 0 0 0 140 2110 11450 16926
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-04-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 142 5 31 9 0 0 0
OW 0 14 6 56 48 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 0 42 170 27 3 0
ODI 0 0 0 9 129 143 60 1
CDI 0 0 0 6 157 291 348 10
VCDI 0 0 0 0 235 1892 13168 15077
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 142 5 35 10 0 0 0
OW 0 15 5 46 33 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 1 43 160 18 7 0
ODI 0 0 0 14 150 126 51 1
CDI 0 0 0 5 148 298 356 9
VCDI 0 0 0 1 247 1911 13165 15078

Date: 2019-04-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 101 5 39 14 0 0 0
OW 0 14 4 45 41 2 0 0
VODI 0 3 1 24 135 64 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 59 175 16 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 84 303 259 12
VCDI 0 0 0 0 79 1478 11519 17606
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 104 6 36 11 0 0 0
OW 0 11 4 43 27 1 0 0
VODI 0 3 0 29 140 53 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 63 175 21 1
CDI 0 0 0 0 80 314 270 14
VCDI 0 0 0 0 91 1479 11503 17603

Date: 2019-04-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 98 2 36 14 0 0 0
OW 0 13 7 38 26 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 0 23 80 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 216 124 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 121 330 86 7
VCDI 0 0 0 0 118 1141 11984 17611
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 94 4 36 14 0 0 0
OW 0 18 5 32 37 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 0 25 137 33 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 4 94 145 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 119 263 269 32
VCDI 0 0 0 0 174 1159 11794 17586

Date: 2019-05-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 114 3 22 12 0 0 0
OW 0 5 4 36 24 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 0 56 66 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 37 181 23 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 148 196 154 9
VCDI 0 0 0 0 173 2528 14235 14041
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 86 1 26 19 0 0 0
OW 0 31 5 38 35 0 0 0
VODI 0 4 1 77 109 13 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 9 98 63 10 1
CDI 0 0 0 4 108 229 193 10
VCDI 0 0 0 0 235 2447 14191 14039

Date: 2019-05-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 99 2 10 24 1 0 0
OW 0 9 5 30 29 6 0 0
VODI 0 7 1 27 88 22 1 0
ODI 0 0 1 63 100 92 18 2
CDI 0 0 0 7 172 223 158 95
VCDI 0 0 0 0 401 1661 13602 15126
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 81 0 12 27 4 0 0
OW 0 23 6 16 46 11 3 0
VODI 0 11 3 35 89 61 16 0
ODI 0 0 0 20 55 99 54 0
CDI 0 0 0 30 106 175 374 1
VCDI 0 0 0 24 491 1655 13332 15222


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