Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2019-04-18

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-04-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70262 14778 222 998 452 96 19 0
OW 73 288 83 582 486 61 19 0
VODI 0 43 10 269 782 142 36 0
ODI 0 0 0 61 503 393 48 0
CDI 0 0 0 15 374 896 260 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 174 2071 8100 6502
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-04-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70764 14570 238 1066 476 118 12 0
OW 64 242 58 572 556 90 21 0
VODI 0 34 8 307 657 219 42 0
ODI 0 0 0 101 447 397 85 0
CDI 0 0 0 36 405 797 261 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 235 2689 6852 6675
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-04-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70580 15040 252 1341 535 79 0 0
OW 68 192 43 456 467 79 0 0
VODI 0 22 14 226 798 169 4 0
ODI 0 0 0 18 647 452 36 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 462 1268 232 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 149 2943 7124 5404
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-04-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71044 14805 244 1472 632 80 0 0
OW 70 163 26 363 591 93 0 0
VODI 0 6 2 169 682 264 10 0
ODI 0 0 0 14 506 464 70 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 567 977 291 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 237 3148 6225 5885
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71044 14809 249 1510 726 87 0 0
OW 70 159 20 335 536 96 0 0
VODI 0 6 3 145 644 252 8 0
ODI 0 0 0 28 471 399 42 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 576 1005 295 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 262 3187 6251 5885

Date: 2019-04-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71125 14835 273 1533 690 71 8 0
OW 70 80 11 322 731 85 1 0
VODI 0 14 1 107 686 398 22 0
ODI 0 0 0 22 378 460 72 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 599 882 251 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 172 3333 7643 4225
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71125 14857 275 1585 806 76 8 0
OW 70 61 8 270 642 92 1 0
VODI 0 11 2 96 664 373 18 0
ODI 0 0 0 31 353 450 63 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 583 847 242 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 208 3391 7665 4225

Date: 2019-04-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71492 14351 218 987 404 85 10 0
OW 70 299 62 477 365 31 1 0
VODI 0 89 14 385 734 169 15 0
ODI 0 0 0 42 782 378 24 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 279 1330 249 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 65 2808 8232 4650
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71492 14583 263 1385 669 114 12 0
OW 70 135 20 255 629 123 16 0
VODI 0 21 10 161 599 327 22 0
ODI 0 0 1 74 295 347 42 0
CDI 0 0 0 19 250 692 277 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 187 3198 8162 4650

Date: 2019-04-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71566 14117 229 1066 513 76 4 0
OW 70 193 46 426 453 80 8 0
VODI 0 43 8 290 750 219 52 0
ODI 0 0 0 25 501 537 50 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 273 1319 210 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 128 2203 8412 5233
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71566 14231 249 1272 863 183 39 0
OW 70 99 25 292 543 227 36 0
VODI 0 23 8 114 487 335 51 0
ODI 0 0 1 95 262 350 95 0
CDI 0 0 0 34 235 785 301 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 228 2554 8214 5233

Date: 2019-04-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71432 14273 235 1133 682 111 3 0
OW 71 125 43 424 444 182 12 0
VODI 0 14 1 193 792 300 36 0
ODI 0 0 0 29 401 451 54 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 319 1326 353 0
VCDI 0 0 0 11 100 2413 7366 5761
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71432 14317 248 1267 1127 291 24 0
OW 71 76 25 298 338 234 37 0
VODI 0 19 5 134 461 307 67 0
ODI 0 0 1 72 324 309 96 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 323 714 297 0
VCDI 0 0 0 11 165 2928 7303 5761


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