Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2019-04-18

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-04-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 125 13 36 14 0 0 0
OW 0 27 4 84 41 2 0 0
VODI 0 30 6 90 94 14 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 22 143 63 11 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 49 137 175 43
VCDI 0 0 0 1 42 566 8678 21561
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-04-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 99 10 34 18 0 0 0
OW 0 13 5 47 36 7 0 0
VODI 0 2 1 15 145 16 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 4 119 78 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 34 164 158 35
VCDI 0 0 0 0 32 262 4958 25790
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-04-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 99 8 26 19 1 0 0
OW 0 11 5 33 25 4 0 0
VODI 0 2 1 23 73 16 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 2 117 84 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 32 235 63 37
VCDI 0 0 0 0 7 681 8642 21835
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-04-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 164 8 24 3 0 0 0
OW 0 26 6 39 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 3 58 63 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 16 136 22 6 10
CDI 0 0 0 10 75 161 92 43
VCDI 0 0 0 0 120 914 8954 21113
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 168 6 26 1 0 0 0
OW 0 22 8 32 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 3 57 91 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 21 98 31 9 17
CDI 0 0 0 11 83 147 84 37
VCDI 0 0 0 0 124 919 8959 21112

Date: 2019-04-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 190 3 17 1 0 0 0
OW 0 44 10 29 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 8 5 76 75 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 27 112 15 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 97 105 105 62
VCDI 0 0 0 0 85 605 6917 23474
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 193 4 18 0 0 0 0
OW 0 35 8 30 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 12 5 67 85 0 0 0
ODI 0 2 2 24 108 16 13 0
CDI 0 0 0 17 80 99 81 66
VCDI 0 0 0 0 101 610 6931 23470

Date: 2019-04-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 191 3 36 1 0 0 0
OW 0 19 10 91 18 0 0 0
VODI 0 10 5 135 125 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 18 134 27 15 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 80 216 109 15
VCDI 0 0 0 0 136 1608 9755 19325
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 178 3 40 0 0 0 0
OW 0 25 5 81 15 0 0 0
VODI 0 17 10 70 73 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 66 95 32 24 16
CDI 0 0 0 23 90 190 115 48
VCDI 0 0 0 0 221 1629 9740 19276

Date: 2019-04-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 157 7 39 6 0 0 0
OW 0 11 6 62 60 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 1 54 137 58 12 0
ODI 0 0 0 22 88 146 50 5
CDI 0 0 0 5 140 309 283 26
VCDI 0 0 0 0 299 2042 12923 15132
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 143 4 22 6 0 0 0
OW 0 18 7 58 23 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 3 35 103 34 2 0
ODI 0 0 0 48 60 117 39 6
CDI 0 0 0 15 137 272 194 77
VCDI 0 0 0 4 401 2132 13033 15080

Date: 2019-04-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 119 6 38 11 0 0 0
OW 0 12 3 46 51 1 0 0
VODI 0 3 0 24 170 49 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 7 79 143 37 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 114 297 338 14
VCDI 0 0 0 0 142 1444 11406 17520
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 101 2 28 8 0 0 0
OW 0 27 6 26 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 1 46 119 24 15 0
ODI 0 0 0 11 81 123 40 16
CDI 0 0 0 1 145 280 256 146
VCDI 0 0 0 11 203 1507 11470 17372


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