Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2019-04-18

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-04-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 10 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 71 17 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 176 194 135 19
VCDI 0 0 0 7 264 1883 10565 32511
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-04-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 1 11 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 8 51 25 18 0
CDI 0 0 0 27 172 189 101 86
VCDI 0 0 0 44 325 2009 10139 32658
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-04-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 16 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 18 57 10 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 2 109 81 25 16
CDI 0 0 0 0 119 355 81 160
VCDI 0 0 0 0 66 1921 8901 33929
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-04-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 8 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 4 28 8 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 116 59 64 16
CDI 0 0 0 0 140 416 247 61
VCDI 0 0 0 0 163 2355 10515 31661
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 4 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 8 30 7 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 115 54 67 18
CDI 0 0 0 0 134 403 245 52
VCDI 0 0 0 0 172 2374 10514 31668

Date: 2019-04-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 28 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 122 30 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 191 269 210 66
VCDI 0 0 0 0 212 2435 11029 31264
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 27 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 118 31 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 203 313 221 54
VCDI 0 0 0 0 207 2388 11019 31276

Date: 2019-04-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 17 73 7 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 37 182 71 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 221 349 126 1
VCDI 0 0 0 2 237 2544 12426 29549
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 1 35 9 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 17 79 22 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 31 158 144 99 11
VCDI 0 0 0 21 446 2796 12456 29539

Date: 2019-04-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 2 33 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 3 153 54 43 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 305 349 140 2
VCDI 0 0 0 0 471 4539 12669 27090
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 20 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 98 54 55 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 213 296 179 8
VCDI 0 0 0 9 632 4595 12618 27084

Date: 2019-04-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 1 37 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 3 138 65 13 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 329 323 204 17
VCDI 0 0 0 9 525 3509 14234 26448
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 2 36 8 4 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 79 49 40 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 269 259 410 19
VCDI 0 0 0 15 646 3584 13997 26446


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