Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2019-04-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-04-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 139 9 37 9 0 0 0
OW 0 112 12 72 53 0 0 0
VODI 0 32 6 127 277 15 0 0
ODI 0 13 1 20 282 144 24 0
CDI 0 3 1 31 153 399 273 54
VCDI 0 0 0 11 150 780 9505 19338
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-04-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 178 8 36 1 0 0 0
OW 0 127 12 84 34 3 0 0
VODI 0 30 12 130 191 16 2 0
ODI 0 13 0 33 163 223 15 0
CDI 0 3 2 33 161 423 239 7
VCDI 0 0 0 28 179 888 9347 19461
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-04-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 159 13 85 21 0 0 0
OW 0 25 6 81 43 0 0 0
VODI 0 10 0 77 152 40 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 19 117 196 54 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 99 431 415 54
VCDI 0 0 0 0 79 700 9385 19814
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-04-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 142 12 47 11 0 0 0
OW 0 66 9 66 61 0 0 0
VODI 0 16 5 87 102 14 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 23 133 98 13 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 61 191 291 43
VCDI 0 0 0 0 69 535 8179 21801
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 166 17 67 34 0 0 0
OW 0 40 4 46 62 3 0 0
VODI 0 18 5 77 89 11 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 33 124 95 28 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 59 201 320 52
VCDI 0 0 0 0 69 528 8135 21792

Date: 2019-04-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 111 9 33 19 0 0 0
OW 0 8 4 39 53 4 0 0
VODI 0 2 1 33 100 50 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 7 139 70 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 42 174 192 15
VCDI 0 0 0 0 37 567 7439 22931
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 110 12 41 29 1 0 0
OW 0 7 1 31 51 10 0 0
VODI 0 4 1 29 90 37 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 12 111 73 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 74 180 242 30
VCDI 0 0 0 0 35 564 7387 22916

Date: 2019-04-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 112 9 28 19 0 0 0
OW 0 9 8 37 17 5 0 0
VODI 0 3 0 24 122 15 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 1 148 103 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 28 209 211 35
VCDI 0 0 0 0 13 297 6807 23820
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 98 9 34 21 1 0 0
OW 0 20 5 16 18 7 0 0
VODI 0 4 3 36 93 12 0 0
ODI 0 2 0 4 132 55 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 55 176 74 41
VCDI 0 0 0 0 28 378 6946 23814

Date: 2019-04-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 138 8 28 9 0 0 0
OW 0 18 8 38 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 4 2 43 75 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 12 137 26 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 42 177 39 26
VCDI 0 0 0 0 70 742 7174 23236
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 146 9 24 17 0 0 0
OW 0 10 8 36 18 1 0 0
VODI 0 4 1 51 65 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 13 135 25 0 7
CDI 0 0 0 7 43 204 64 117
VCDI 0 0 0 0 72 713 7149 23138

Date: 2019-04-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 170 4 23 3 0 0 0
OW 0 33 9 29 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 10 3 61 68 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 20 81 60 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 36 191 61 65
VCDI 0 0 0 0 52 595 8527 21962
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 164 5 24 8 0 0 0
OW 0 34 6 16 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 13 4 56 59 8 0 0
ODI 0 2 1 30 60 99 66 11
CDI 0 0 0 9 39 148 257 127
VCDI 0 0 0 0 74 591 8269 21889


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