Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2019-04-04

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-03-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 55 4 25 4 0 0 0
OW 0 24 3 73 37 0 0 0
VODI 0 12 2 72 168 15 0 0
ODI 0 7 1 33 166 81 6 8
CDI 0 0 2 29 190 257 60 124
VCDI 0 0 0 16 225 921 7848 21614
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-03-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 61 5 53 8 0 0 0
OW 0 40 5 64 83 0 0 0
VODI 0 39 8 71 175 18 0 0
ODI 0 7 5 44 188 70 21 1
CDI 0 12 2 38 204 222 187 77
VCDI 0 6 2 80 300 1046 8857 20083
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-04-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 133 14 79 19 0 0 0
OW 0 56 12 111 67 0 0 0
VODI 0 17 2 149 282 17 2 0
ODI 0 12 1 75 254 159 27 0
CDI 0 12 3 65 141 429 180 57
VCDI 0 0 0 44 175 1398 9960 18130
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-04-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 162 11 56 9 0 0 0
OW 0 88 11 104 57 3 0 0
VODI 0 21 7 123 274 44 1 0
ODI 0 11 0 59 194 191 39 0
CDI 0 3 1 48 122 425 336 68
VCDI 0 0 0 27 170 947 10314 18156
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 134 14 77 17 0 0 0
OW 0 109 8 76 47 1 0 0
VODI 0 29 7 118 290 94 3 0
ODI 0 11 0 50 168 217 60 0
CDI 0 2 1 67 123 405 358 69
VCDI 0 0 0 29 181 893 10269 18155

Date: 2019-04-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 168 7 34 2 0 0 0
OW 0 132 15 68 30 1 0 0
VODI 0 38 6 125 229 13 0 0
ODI 0 10 1 19 289 134 19 0
CDI 0 10 2 21 158 411 245 13
VCDI 0 0 0 29 173 854 9016 19810
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 185 9 58 8 0 0 0
OW 0 108 12 54 29 0 0 0
VODI 0 48 7 118 289 41 0 0
ODI 0 10 2 19 199 207 36 0
CDI 0 7 1 21 178 381 261 12
VCDI 0 0 0 26 178 784 8983 19811

Date: 2019-04-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 211 18 61 17 0 0 0
OW 0 53 9 92 38 0 0 0
VODI 0 13 2 127 168 51 4 0
ODI 0 0 2 22 228 232 27 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 132 496 385 16
VCDI 0 0 0 0 56 573 9280 19766
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 192 16 84 12 0 0 0
OW 0 49 5 60 29 0 0 0
VODI 0 28 8 109 198 44 3 0
ODI 0 8 0 30 113 268 70 0
CDI 0 0 2 19 109 314 408 23
VCDI 0 0 0 3 178 726 9215 19759

Date: 2019-04-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 138 13 63 18 0 0 0
OW 0 26 3 70 55 0 0 0
VODI 0 5 3 84 140 14 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 15 136 163 27 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 69 274 270 82
VCDI 0 0 0 0 91 728 9116 20475
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 137 10 84 27 0 0 0
OW 0 24 7 61 39 2 0 0
VODI 0 7 2 68 179 63 2 0
ODI 0 1 0 14 98 180 68 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 54 236 380 55
VCDI 0 0 0 0 112 698 8963 20502

Date: 2019-04-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 125 13 36 14 0 0 0
OW 0 27 4 84 41 2 0 0
VODI 0 30 6 90 94 14 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 22 143 63 11 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 49 137 175 43
VCDI 0 0 0 1 42 566 8678 21561
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 134 14 77 23 0 0 0
OW 0 35 5 50 37 8 0 0
VODI 0 13 3 86 131 46 3 0
ODI 0 0 1 14 111 79 57 24
CDI 0 0 0 12 41 122 356 205
VCDI 0 0 0 5 40 527 8448 21375


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