Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2019-03-28

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-03-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 7 1 21 10 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 10 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 12 49 11 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 1 81 36 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 42 173 77 98
VCDI 0 0 0 0 52 508 8335 22541
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-03-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 33 4 21 3 0 0 0
OW 0 12 2 19 29 0 0 0
VODI 0 13 1 37 64 2 0 0
ODI 0 8 1 42 99 32 0 0
CDI 0 2 2 30 162 82 8 9
VCDI 0 0 0 53 277 630 7996 22409
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-03-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 72 7 25 23 0 0 0
OW 0 31 8 74 34 0 0 0
VODI 0 21 4 95 147 5 0 0
ODI 0 10 2 42 141 42 3 0
CDI 0 2 3 58 140 193 63 53
VCDI 0 0 0 51 217 768 7664 22084
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-03-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 67 4 23 6 0 0 0
OW 0 21 2 62 42 0 0 0
VODI 0 18 1 59 183 8 0 0
ODI 0 8 3 28 153 75 6 6
CDI 0 1 2 30 162 272 85 30
VCDI 0 0 0 32 252 1045 7607 21789
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 67 4 38 18 0 0 0
OW 0 22 2 65 66 0 0 0
VODI 0 19 2 47 165 13 0 0
ODI 0 7 2 28 156 77 6 5
CDI 0 0 2 31 159 255 87 32
VCDI 0 0 0 25 234 1055 7605 21788

Date: 2019-03-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 57 4 35 3 0 0 0
OW 0 45 7 81 47 0 0 0
VODI 0 29 6 83 150 13 0 0
ODI 0 8 4 46 161 83 10 14
CDI 0 8 1 31 219 225 65 131
VCDI 0 2 3 47 273 961 8082 21148
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 72 6 57 9 0 0 0
OW 0 42 7 92 71 0 0 0
VODI 0 19 5 59 145 26 0 0
ODI 0 9 4 44 149 75 12 16
CDI 0 6 1 29 210 203 66 139
VCDI 0 1 2 42 269 978 8079 21138

Date: 2019-04-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 78 9 62 4 0 0 0
OW 0 72 10 98 37 0 0 0
VODI 0 26 9 168 287 6 0 0
ODI 0 9 0 61 280 133 20 19
CDI 0 8 1 68 171 424 152 80
VCDI 0 1 1 26 144 1069 9133 19416
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 81 9 107 38 0 0 0
OW 0 47 6 44 75 8 0 0
VODI 0 31 9 83 192 27 0 0
ODI 0 13 3 73 166 87 16 0
CDI 0 10 2 71 147 251 173 49
VCDI 0 12 1 105 305 1259 9116 19466

Date: 2019-04-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 149 13 64 12 0 0 0
OW 0 78 9 115 57 1 0 0
VODI 0 19 6 120 310 18 2 0
ODI 0 11 1 68 231 178 28 0
CDI 0 11 3 49 138 462 242 68
VCDI 0 0 0 54 181 1446 10054 17884
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 109 10 60 20 0 0 0
OW 0 61 5 64 72 0 0 0
VODI 0 49 8 81 226 37 2 0
ODI 0 25 5 55 142 131 31 0
CDI 0 10 0 78 145 368 236 4
VCDI 0 14 4 132 324 1569 10057 17948

Date: 2019-04-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 139 9 37 9 0 0 0
OW 0 112 12 72 53 0 0 0
VODI 0 32 6 127 277 15 0 0
ODI 0 13 1 20 282 144 24 0
CDI 0 3 1 31 153 399 273 54
VCDI 0 0 0 11 150 780 9505 19338
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 118 8 31 7 0 0 0
OW 0 68 5 38 41 0 0 0
VODI 0 73 9 91 251 22 0 0
ODI 0 25 5 57 155 107 16 22
CDI 0 9 1 28 169 245 200 173
VCDI 0 6 1 53 301 964 9586 19197


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