Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - GODAE regions

Bulletin date: 2019-03-21

Model: ARC MFC - TOPAZ

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-03-25

Best estimate

Forecast

Arctic Deep Basin:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 1 88 33 0 0
OW 0 0 0 6 36 42 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 9 22 87 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 27 47 85 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 51 86 4 7
VCDI 0 0 0 5 88 549 5662 29963
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 1 89 42 0 0
OW 0 0 0 4 29 32 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 9 23 63 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 8 5 75 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 1 90 5 0
VCDI 0 0 0 26 185 580 5661 29970

Queen Elisabeth Islands:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 15 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 11 177 855 2075
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 11 189 855 2075

Beaufort Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 3 35 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 14 82 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 15 381 2449 7003
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 7 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 13 84 3 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 19 407 2446 7003

Chuckchi Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 13 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 1 25 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 14 45 6 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 63 401 1818 3256
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 12 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 31 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 8 32 5 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 70 412 1818 3256

Siberian Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 7 691 6548
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 7 691 6548

Laptev Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 3 15 16
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 74 1391 3827
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 2 14 15
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 75 1392 3828

Kara Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 7 2 30 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 1 52 78 7 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 20 121 22 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 39 134 166 19 10
VCDI 0 0 0 5 167 599 3931 916
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 15 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 4 2 26 33 13 0 0
ODI 0 4 1 19 49 25 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 32 118 108 12 5
VCDI 0 0 0 55 293 648 3938 921

Barents Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3556 3503 49 160 42 0 0 0
OW 0 140 19 233 104 0 0 0
VODI 0 80 22 285 322 10 0 0
ODI 0 9 4 53 295 107 0 0
CDI 0 1 2 25 146 345 21 0
VCDI 0 0 0 9 56 1094 639 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3556 3468 48 188 58 0 0 0
OW 0 140 18 211 136 0 0 0
VODI 0 75 13 173 194 7 0 0
ODI 0 31 5 98 229 67 0 0
CDI 0 19 12 60 217 182 4 0
VCDI 0 0 0 35 131 1300 656 0

Greenland Basin:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5237 3234 7 60 7 0 0 0
OW 0 135 10 51 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 53 15 140 20 0 0 0
ODI 0 13 4 57 97 1 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 29 147 46 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 106 407 1780 31
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5237 3108 6 47 6 0 0 0
OW 0 183 7 33 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 100 13 98 4 0 0 0
ODI 0 34 7 87 34 1 0 0
CDI 0 10 4 47 114 4 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 30 218 449 1780 31

Southeast Greenland:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8361 3227 22 72 37 5 0 0
OW 0 164 27 91 32 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 11 116 85 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 27 130 9 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 107 139 24 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 14 184 95 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8361 3254 30 121 64 5 0 0
OW 0 107 12 68 64 0 0 0
VODI 0 35 17 53 67 17 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 50 62 25 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 15 105 124 56 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 43 168 63 0

Baffin Bay:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 3 2 2 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 24 5 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 7 31 14 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 65 21 1 0
VCDI 0 0 0 16 328 1008 3168 1081
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 1 4 3 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 14 7 10 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 18 13 16 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 46 24 1 0
VCDI 0 0 0 34 361 998 3168 1081

Hudson Bay:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 27 2 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 118 45 8 17
VCDI 0 0 0 3 109 1288 3267 3703
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 30 1 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 106 45 9 10
VCDI 0 0 0 1 118 1289 3266 3710

Labrador Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11084 4236 72 252 121 9 0 0
OW 0 281 27 280 178 15 0 0
VODI 0 60 17 189 351 31 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 5 296 130 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 185 482 1 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 30 891 986 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11084 4090 78 304 210 15 0 0
OW 0 351 32 293 248 32 0 0
VODI 0 125 4 120 254 93 0 0
ODI 0 11 2 9 191 265 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 176 303 8 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 82 850 979 0


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