Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2019-03-21

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-03-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 26 3 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 17 3 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 6 41 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 2 8 51 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 21 112 23 6
VCDI 0 0 0 0 12 195 3631 27925
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-03-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1 1 30 9 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 5 23 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 13 40 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 5 75 22 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 114 93 27 10
VCDI 0 0 0 0 50 464 5762 25331
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-03-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2 2 28 11 2 0 0
OW 0 0 0 6 18 13 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 10 60 32 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 85 75 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 60 143 47 23
VCDI 0 0 0 0 32 512 7231 23685
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-03-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 20 12 4 0 0
OW 0 0 0 8 12 9 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 5 48 23 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 5 42 76 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 36 194 38 70
VCDI 0 0 0 0 38 646 7951 22842
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 21 13 4 0 0
OW 0 0 0 10 13 9 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 2 43 31 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 3 40 65 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 32 210 42 62
VCDI 0 0 0 0 47 633 7948 22850

Date: 2019-03-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 26 4 17 4 0 0 0
OW 0 11 1 13 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 4 3 26 53 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 31 77 4 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 17 134 101 41 67
VCDI 0 0 0 13 132 592 8339 22358
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 28 4 18 6 0 0 0
OW 0 9 1 16 15 0 0 0
VODI 0 4 3 25 44 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 28 71 4 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 17 125 109 49 61
VCDI 0 0 0 13 152 585 8331 22364

Date: 2019-03-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 36 4 21 8 0 0 0
OW 0 22 5 58 41 0 0 0
VODI 0 20 5 96 170 7 0 0
ODI 0 5 0 30 183 30 0 0
CDI 0 1 2 50 150 187 34 26
VCDI 0 0 0 14 207 779 8513 21378
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 36 6 28 16 0 0 0
OW 0 10 0 32 38 0 0 0
VODI 0 17 6 52 95 13 0 0
ODI 0 14 1 41 106 25 0 0
CDI 0 7 3 44 159 118 26 20
VCDI 0 0 0 72 345 847 8521 21384

Date: 2019-03-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 62 6 33 6 0 0 0
OW 0 19 3 71 48 0 0 0
VODI 0 16 3 77 164 6 0 0
ODI 0 8 2 25 167 40 1 0
CDI 0 0 1 43 143 203 93 13
VCDI 0 0 0 40 221 868 7865 21835
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 48 4 17 1 0 0 0
OW 0 14 2 28 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 16 2 57 113 13 0 0
ODI 0 13 3 36 105 26 3 0
CDI 0 12 2 40 139 112 93 19
VCDI 0 2 2 111 372 966 7863 21829

Date: 2019-03-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 55 4 25 4 0 0 0
OW 0 24 3 73 37 0 0 0
VODI 0 12 2 72 168 15 0 0
ODI 0 7 1 33 166 81 6 8
CDI 0 0 2 29 190 257 60 124
VCDI 0 0 0 16 225 921 7848 21614
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 41 3 16 5 0 0 0
OW 0 13 1 16 18 0 0 0
VODI 0 16 1 70 100 17 0 0
ODI 0 14 2 31 90 44 2 0
CDI 0 6 2 53 82 143 82 19
VCDI 0 8 3 62 495 1070 7830 21727


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