Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2019-03-14

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-03-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69010 14596 213 803 395 106 23 0
OW 52 455 52 440 249 82 35 0
VODI 0 140 43 372 548 159 57 0
ODI 0 33 5 180 653 280 56 0
CDI 0 15 4 90 779 798 186 0
VCDI 0 79 9 104 887 3544 7830 5738
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-03-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68519 14616 193 869 536 206 22 0
OW 52 410 51 381 307 134 34 0
VODI 0 135 39 431 454 221 86 0
ODI 0 27 10 182 580 293 96 0
CDI 0 27 1 94 765 715 253 0
VCDI 0 35 11 109 769 2555 8359 6523
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-03-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67609 15291 201 804 649 149 25 0
OW 52 314 68 459 304 114 36 0
VODI 0 109 31 484 627 180 66 0
ODI 0 28 14 165 754 292 93 0
CDI 0 5 2 99 740 832 334 1
VCDI 0 0 0 34 431 2014 8482 7208
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-03-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67634 15125 200 916 627 145 35 0
OW 52 374 45 435 360 129 40 0
VODI 0 171 40 354 632 232 71 0
ODI 0 54 14 205 658 366 108 0
CDI 0 14 9 94 605 776 419 0
VCDI 0 0 0 25 348 1505 8520 7763
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67633 15123 202 940 641 148 37 0
OW 53 372 42 389 341 131 39 0
VODI 0 177 41 374 615 227 64 0
ODI 0 51 16 215 625 358 112 0
CDI 0 15 7 85 647 761 404 0
VCDI 0 0 0 26 361 1528 8537 7763

Date: 2019-03-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67862 15079 184 825 574 190 22 0
OW 52 489 44 412 337 131 38 0
VODI 0 269 45 491 531 191 66 0
ODI 0 95 22 347 623 312 89 0
CDI 0 23 14 163 545 609 158 0
VCDI 0 1 5 57 498 1949 7986 7772
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67862 15071 181 831 585 193 24 0
OW 52 442 54 380 307 137 31 0
VODI 0 306 30 455 527 185 67 0
ODI 0 105 29 332 603 292 107 0
CDI 0 31 17 246 565 607 155 0
VCDI 0 1 3 51 521 1968 7975 7772

Date: 2019-03-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68197 15043 151 815 462 106 18 0
OW 52 956 91 468 327 75 18 0
VODI 0 453 65 598 550 156 22 0
ODI 0 60 11 216 610 236 44 0
CDI 0 0 0 47 507 757 138 0
VCDI 0 0 0 13 407 2340 8535 6556
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68197 15055 162 886 613 188 27 0
OW 52 668 65 344 285 141 19 0
VODI 0 420 54 516 514 235 39 0
ODI 0 205 31 208 432 303 72 0
CDI 0 164 6 134 384 473 162 0
VCDI 0 0 0 69 635 2330 8456 6556

Date: 2019-03-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68152 14971 190 927 487 108 11 0
OW 52 758 83 521 450 102 14 0
VODI 0 342 53 587 678 199 31 0
ODI 0 48 9 171 561 336 51 0
CDI 0 0 1 65 491 885 153 0
VCDI 0 0 0 9 452 2550 8658 5944
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68152 14655 174 901 703 201 28 0
OW 52 676 58 387 306 169 32 0
VODI 0 437 70 524 648 287 67 0
ODI 0 186 20 273 451 401 73 0
CDI 0 149 11 143 469 733 155 0
VCDI 0 16 3 52 542 2389 8563 5944

Date: 2019-03-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69330 14062 149 680 333 71 0 0
OW 69 932 70 555 412 85 7 0
VODI 0 464 75 561 624 146 20 0
ODI 0 21 13 243 678 339 21 0
CDI 0 6 3 79 660 813 73 0
VCDI 0 0 0 34 596 2855 7936 6085
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69322 13648 130 641 470 141 14 0
OW 77 851 69 358 246 139 35 0
VODI 0 596 70 644 621 236 49 0
ODI 0 218 31 331 576 420 62 0
CDI 0 134 9 132 725 721 234 0
VCDI 0 38 1 46 665 2652 7663 6085


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