Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2019-03-14

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-03-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 26 15 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 19 32 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 19 48 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 16 35 7 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 17 42 59 12 52
VCDI 0 0 0 34 122 345 3204 27975
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-03-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 4 30 5 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 28 16 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 35 34 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 25 32 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 46 94 32 21
VCDI 0 0 0 0 119 307 2949 28304
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-03-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 15 14 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 7 23 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 4 55 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 59 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1 145 49 91
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 162 3200 28251
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-03-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 6 17 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 1 19 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 45 3 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 2 49 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 16 99 41 18
VCDI 0 0 0 0 9 156 3055 28540
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 6 16 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 1 27 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 43 3 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 3 44 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 14 96 46 19
VCDI 0 0 0 0 10 159 3050 28539

Date: 2019-03-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 5 30 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 2 16 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 7 31 14 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 3 25 44 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 64 101 5 19
VCDI 0 0 0 0 20 295 4167 27234
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 4 30 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 2 16 4 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 9 30 18 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 2 31 41 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 61 108 5 23
VCDI 0 0 0 0 18 283 4167 27230

Date: 2019-03-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 9 3 21 9 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 16 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 13 109 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 4 157 41 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 87 136 13 20
VCDI 0 0 0 0 54 579 6021 24769
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 9 3 28 8 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 8 24 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 8 66 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 7 107 21 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 139 100 27 28
VCDI 0 0 0 0 91 636 6007 24761

Date: 2019-03-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 26 13 4 0 0
OW 0 0 0 8 13 10 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 5 56 33 3 0
ODI 0 0 0 3 55 64 12 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 59 152 55 49
VCDI 0 0 0 0 56 568 7243 23595
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 31 25 5 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 17 11 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 2 18 36 2 0
ODI 0 0 0 2 44 61 22 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 60 144 101 48
VCDI 0 0 0 1 88 574 7188 23596

Date: 2019-03-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 7 1 21 10 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 10 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 12 49 11 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 1 81 36 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 42 173 77 98
VCDI 0 0 0 0 52 508 8335 22541
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 7 1 26 28 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 6 16 4 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 7 32 15 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 1 62 49 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 46 160 73 22
VCDI 0 0 0 0 67 500 8339 22617


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