Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2019-03-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-03-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 1 40 9 0 0 0
OW 0 0 2 39 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 30 31 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 18 25 2 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 15 48 31 18 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 199 1456 5982 24122
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-03-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 31 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 7 47 1 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 6 49 14 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 31 18 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 24 58 14 63
VCDI 0 0 0 0 37 440 5949 25293
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-03-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 1 52 4 0 0 0
OW 0 3 1 42 18 0 0 0
VODI 0 5 1 28 37 0 0 0
ODI 0 3 1 14 44 3 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 14 99 26 49 13
VCDI 0 0 0 7 118 285 4357 26856
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-03-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1 2 38 1 0 0 0
OW 0 1 1 42 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 4 0 37 23 0 0 0
ODI 0 3 2 22 30 7 2 0
CDI 0 8 2 13 46 43 40 13
VCDI 0 2 1 31 121 334 4231 26968
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1 2 40 2 0 0 0
OW 0 1 0 38 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 1 39 23 0 0 0
ODI 0 4 2 20 28 9 1 0
CDI 0 6 2 13 43 39 31 13
VCDI 0 4 1 33 125 336 4241 26968

Date: 2019-03-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 12 29 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 15 28 3 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 11 53 9 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 10 31 24 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 40 86 7 18
VCDI 0 0 0 29 133 316 3453 27767
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 12 31 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 15 24 3 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 11 53 7 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 8 30 20 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 37 82 4 19
VCDI 0 0 0 32 139 326 3456 27766

Date: 2019-03-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 21 10 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 10 20 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 20 51 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 16 69 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 42 145 32 25
VCDI 0 0 0 0 18 160 2454 28984
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 26 14 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 10 17 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 15 48 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 11 45 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 23 86 31 14
VCDI 0 0 0 0 42 245 2456 28995

Date: 2019-03-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 10 16 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 5 20 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 50 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 52 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 6 135 43 39
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 202 3879 27619
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 14 16 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 1 21 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 54 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 2 49 12 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 4 91 70 54
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 244 3844 27604

Date: 2019-03-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 26 3 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 17 3 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 6 41 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 2 8 51 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 21 112 23 6
VCDI 0 0 0 0 12 195 3631 27925
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 29 10 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 10 11 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 4 46 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 3 49 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 10 76 33 14
VCDI 0 0 0 2 34 213 3621 27917


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