Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2019-02-28

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-02-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69095 15195 196 806 359 85 2 0
OW 52 369 60 357 303 83 4 0
VODI 0 167 32 307 589 162 12 0
ODI 0 43 22 145 510 381 32 0
CDI 0 16 7 104 588 828 89 0
VCDI 0 0 1 11 606 3608 7868 6006
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-02-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69628 14853 178 761 365 50 2 0
OW 52 461 47 269 359 57 0 0
VODI 0 237 44 292 507 186 10 0
ODI 0 47 17 210 482 324 30 0
CDI 0 32 1 115 533 777 43 0
VCDI 0 13 2 53 531 3243 8440 5849
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-02-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70520 14148 159 608 242 47 0 0
OW 52 487 79 429 266 58 0 0
VODI 0 126 44 422 589 142 5 0
ODI 0 23 6 165 537 326 20 0
CDI 0 1 3 73 552 758 106 0
VCDI 0 0 0 20 521 3743 8158 5665
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-02-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70290 14397 160 636 324 53 0 0
OW 52 536 74 359 267 75 0 0
VODI 0 200 45 470 512 134 4 0
ODI 0 49 17 208 511 317 16 0
CDI 0 14 3 107 580 700 145 0
VCDI 0 2 4 89 963 3804 7298 5685
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70290 14470 167 685 340 57 0 0
OW 52 493 67 326 284 71 0 0
VODI 0 184 50 470 489 153 3 0
ODI 0 36 11 218 527 334 15 0
CDI 0 13 5 85 572 657 173 0
VCDI 0 2 3 85 945 3811 7272 5685

Date: 2019-03-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70080 13996 168 705 464 70 0 0
OW 52 624 57 301 273 102 0 0
VODI 0 267 48 420 449 194 6 0
ODI 0 70 21 261 517 343 19 0
CDI 0 11 7 119 716 680 106 0
VCDI 0 6 2 93 686 3696 7845 5626
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70080 14070 169 726 479 69 0 0
OW 52 560 57 292 270 103 0 0
VODI 0 275 48 443 450 189 3 0
ODI 0 56 21 234 569 362 20 0
CDI 0 7 5 106 633 723 131 0
VCDI 0 6 3 98 704 3639 7822 5626

Date: 2019-03-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69908 13982 167 597 539 85 0 0
OW 52 484 67 466 255 153 2 0
VODI 0 144 40 462 520 273 20 0
ODI 0 35 3 126 679 408 39 0
CDI 0 3 1 83 491 1162 295 0
VCDI 0 0 0 27 339 2730 8525 5938
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69908 13839 172 674 664 144 3 0
OW 52 481 38 304 249 192 3 0
VODI 0 250 46 363 348 333 21 0
ODI 0 63 19 220 444 399 57 0
CDI 0 15 3 113 556 912 340 0
VCDI 0 0 0 87 562 2831 8457 5938

Date: 2019-03-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69100 14698 182 737 332 72 10 0
OW 52 468 72 494 254 94 20 0
VODI 0 135 44 431 602 175 27 0
ODI 0 24 3 173 714 285 42 0
CDI 0 11 2 68 707 883 170 0
VCDI 0 8 3 75 531 3090 8070 6242
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69100 14525 198 836 454 135 22 0
OW 52 493 36 345 344 115 20 0
VODI 0 247 44 349 479 256 40 0
ODI 0 62 23 240 469 355 61 0
CDI 0 11 2 129 708 785 181 0
VCDI 0 6 3 79 686 2953 8015 6242

Date: 2019-03-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69010 14596 213 803 395 106 23 0
OW 52 455 52 440 249 82 35 0
VODI 0 140 43 372 548 159 57 0
ODI 0 33 5 180 653 280 56 0
CDI 0 15 4 90 779 798 186 0
VCDI 0 79 9 104 887 3544 7830 5738
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69010 14567 221 886 527 133 46 0
OW 52 374 38 303 323 90 43 0
VODI 0 229 40 334 451 214 71 0
ODI 0 46 13 229 538 361 70 0
CDI 0 23 5 111 724 770 166 0
VCDI 0 79 9 126 948 3401 7791 5738


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