Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2019-02-28

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-02-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 56 9 61 13 0 0 0
OW 0 8 6 27 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 37 30 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 11 45 3 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 38 7 12 9
VCDI 0 0 0 0 38 285 4631 26742
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-02-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 133 9 18 0 0 0 0
OW 0 32 3 20 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 25 4 21 11 0 0 0
ODI 0 6 3 24 20 5 0 0
CDI 0 2 1 23 28 54 37 18
VCDI 0 0 0 16 117 586 6577 24286
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-02-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 63 8 20 5 0 0 0
OW 0 29 1 26 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 12 3 23 19 0 0 0
ODI 0 4 0 24 35 4 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 21 80 74 27 39
VCDI 0 0 0 5 140 1154 7767 22491
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-02-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 3 39 19 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 25 28 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 28 30 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 13 29 2 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 70 53 17 5
VCDI 0 0 0 2 224 1956 7241 22287
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 3 41 22 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 23 23 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 25 32 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 16 34 4 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 71 52 22 4
VCDI 0 0 0 3 218 1955 7236 22288

Date: 2019-03-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 5 37 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 17 36 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 18 41 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 5 38 1 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 54 20 20 27
VCDI 0 0 0 0 76 697 7195 23792
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 4 42 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 15 33 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 18 39 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 8 38 1 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 57 20 18 28
VCDI 0 0 0 0 73 697 7197 23791

Date: 2019-03-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 21 27 1 0 0
OW 0 0 0 21 33 9 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 9 43 21 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 38 34 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 62 101 42 52
VCDI 0 0 0 0 33 322 3533 27670
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 11 24 2 0 0
OW 0 0 0 22 26 6 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 15 37 19 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 3 29 20 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 42 64 4 55
VCDI 0 0 0 0 78 377 3581 27667

Date: 2019-03-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 53 1 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 47 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 5 32 27 0 0 0
ODI 0 9 3 11 26 8 0 0
CDI 0 7 1 15 52 44 35 27
VCDI 0 0 2 22 144 275 3774 27448
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 36 1 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 49 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 3 43 26 0 0 0
ODI 0 6 5 14 31 6 0 0
CDI 0 8 1 13 47 33 18 8
VCDI 0 4 2 25 148 288 3791 27467

Date: 2019-03-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 26 15 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 19 32 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 19 48 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 16 35 7 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 17 42 59 12 52
VCDI 0 0 0 34 122 345 3204 27975
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 24 7 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 15 24 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 23 58 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 11 29 9 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 20 49 47 12 71
VCDI 0 0 0 38 127 354 3206 27956


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