Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - GODAE regions

Bulletin date: 2019-02-14

Model: ARC MFC - TOPAZ

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-02-18

Best estimate

Forecast

Arctic Deep Basin:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 103 79 10 0 0
OW 0 0 0 5 36 13 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 1 30 25 3 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 23 29 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 101 67 11 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 45 373 3432 32510
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 104 84 15 0 0
OW 0 0 0 4 35 12 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 1 27 24 5 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 17 28 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 12 36 9 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 139 402 3431 32510

Queen Elisabeth Islands:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 54 1221 1849
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 54 1221 1845

Beaufort Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 51 0 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 93 1454 8383
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 56 2 40
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 88 1452 8344

Chuckchi Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 54 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 52 27 5
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 38 1478 3992
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 70 19 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 36 29 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 32 81 9
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 6 1383 3988

Siberian Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7245
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 14
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7232

Laptev Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5326
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5325

Kara Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 69 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 10 2 1 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 8 5 6 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 6 1 8 1 3 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 18 22 55 31 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 33 64 2144 3840
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 49 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 16 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 11 3 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 8 3 5 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 7 1 9 0 16 12 1
VCDI 0 3 1 22 56 106 2163 3839

Barents Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3546 3683 68 298 62 0 0 0
OW 9 70 20 153 203 7 0 0
VODI 5 15 1 115 260 65 0 0
ODI 1 3 2 30 206 126 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 11 111 283 24 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 103 946 901 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3547 3647 58 234 51 1 0 0
OW 10 93 18 136 114 19 0 0
VODI 4 25 11 127 242 35 0 0
ODI 0 5 2 59 223 100 0 0
CDI 0 2 2 41 127 265 2 0
VCDI 0 0 0 13 188 1007 923 0

Greenland Basin:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5725 3161 15 45 6 0 0 0
OW 0 141 15 28 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 83 6 94 12 0 0 0
ODI 0 29 1 53 48 0 0 0
CDI 0 13 3 36 88 10 0 0
VCDI 0 4 1 45 174 402 1451 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5725 3153 20 53 2 0 0 0
OW 0 123 7 43 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 77 9 61 20 0 0 0
ODI 0 44 1 49 37 0 0 0
CDI 0 21 2 33 72 10 0 0
VCDI 0 13 2 62 192 402 1451 0

Southeast Greenland:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8411 3106 19 49 25 0 0 0
OW 0 105 14 54 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 51 14 88 62 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 51 85 21 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 95 118 15 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 52 189 344 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8411 3101 31 88 31 0 0 0
OW 0 92 3 58 47 9 0 0
VODI 0 58 6 29 78 19 4 0
ODI 0 11 8 37 34 35 9 0
CDI 0 0 1 34 43 71 21 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 94 194 325 0

Baffin Bay:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 14 1 7 2 0 0 0
OW 0 1 2 9 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 12 14 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 9 14 5 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 21 15 1 0
VCDI 0 0 0 13 137 735 2189 2587
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 12 3 3 2 0 0 0
OW 0 3 0 9 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 12 11 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 7 10 3 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 14 12 4 0
VCDI 0 0 0 18 150 740 2186 2587

Hudson Bay:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 10 65 8 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 340 2236 5926
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 9 60 8 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 345 2236 5926

Labrador Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11084 4241 39 156 78 8 0 0
OW 0 175 38 159 95 18 0 0
VODI 0 24 11 194 275 33 0 0
ODI 0 3 1 60 407 99 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 309 542 7 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 130 941 1067 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11084 4315 52 238 164 9 0 0
OW 0 101 25 117 117 26 0 0
VODI 0 26 9 148 284 45 0 0
ODI 0 1 3 50 240 117 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 27 313 431 1 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 176 1013 1074 0


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