Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2019-02-14

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-02-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71217 14119 126 424 327 81 0 0
OW 57 572 62 391 145 70 1 0
VODI 5 351 51 375 423 104 6 0
ODI 2 116 18 286 493 191 5 0
CDI 0 33 14 276 631 642 41 0
VCDI 0 10 3 144 1022 3246 6118 6902
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-02-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70502 14630 136 534 379 46 0 0
OW 51 527 68 396 264 50 3 0
VODI 0 284 42 447 436 92 12 0
ODI 0 72 25 312 537 154 16 0
CDI 0 8 2 241 739 469 36 0
VCDI 0 0 0 82 1023 2774 7368 6343
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-02-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70391 14937 155 674 316 11 0 0
OW 51 452 77 489 206 35 2 0
VODI 0 193 47 490 561 48 6 0
ODI 0 24 15 254 859 138 12 0
CDI 0 5 2 112 782 630 64 0
VCDI 0 0 1 29 632 2849 7474 6077
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-02-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69816 15032 217 878 349 63 0 0
OW 51 285 57 508 410 75 5 0
VODI 0 75 34 367 664 181 11 0
ODI 0 3 7 184 539 316 12 0
CDI 0 0 0 81 545 1161 192 0
VCDI 0 0 0 13 422 2237 6743 7567
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69816 15044 218 918 379 74 1 0
OW 51 263 53 473 380 79 5 0
VODI 0 86 38 354 651 179 8 0
ODI 0 2 6 184 514 313 13 0
CDI 0 0 0 87 565 1047 196 0
VCDI 0 0 0 15 440 2341 6740 7567

Date: 2019-02-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69998 14825 183 751 284 28 0 0
OW 52 399 59 447 389 61 3 0
VODI 0 147 32 387 615 165 10 0
ODI 0 33 13 151 525 316 12 0
CDI 0 2 2 102 559 864 147 0
VCDI 0 0 0 30 453 2333 6708 8015
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69998 14870 177 768 323 27 0 0
OW 52 355 69 413 359 52 3 0
VODI 0 151 30 385 599 165 10 0
ODI 0 27 10 171 510 270 13 0
CDI 0 3 3 98 596 732 107 0
VCDI 0 0 0 33 438 2521 6747 8015

Date: 2019-02-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70541 14115 142 637 248 18 0 0
OW 61 479 87 389 351 38 0 0
VODI 5 164 31 482 647 123 3 0
ODI 1 32 4 196 786 278 7 0
CDI 0 13 3 69 707 984 34 0
VCDI 0 4 1 45 534 2912 7203 6726
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70542 14153 164 707 330 25 0 0
OW 62 389 53 359 336 66 0 0
VODI 4 174 32 355 664 123 9 0
ODI 0 57 14 182 555 281 16 0
CDI 0 21 3 136 563 776 31 0
VCDI 0 13 2 79 825 3082 7191 6726

Date: 2019-02-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69825 14343 197 829 406 11 0 0
OW 52 366 39 395 382 49 3 0
VODI 0 160 24 329 586 218 7 0
ODI 0 61 18 115 578 320 18 0
CDI 0 14 6 98 581 818 83 0
VCDI 0 1 0 23 558 3477 8162 5948
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69825 14223 195 913 562 19 3 0
OW 52 376 35 318 345 70 2 0
VODI 0 213 28 257 511 220 12 0
ODI 0 88 14 148 456 394 22 0
CDI 0 42 11 114 563 714 96 0
VCDI 0 3 1 39 654 3476 8138 5948

Date: 2019-02-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69095 15195 196 806 359 85 2 0
OW 52 369 60 357 303 83 4 0
VODI 0 167 32 307 589 162 12 0
ODI 0 43 22 145 510 381 32 0
CDI 0 16 7 104 588 828 89 0
VCDI 0 0 1 11 606 3608 7868 6006
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69095 15065 212 901 565 154 5 0
OW 52 365 32 264 347 86 5 0
VODI 0 222 33 233 454 275 24 0
ODI 0 98 18 155 392 392 41 0
CDI 0 36 21 145 575 975 96 0
VCDI 0 4 2 32 622 3265 7836 6006


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