Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2019-02-14

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-02-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 241 3 5 0 0 0 0
OW 0 55 4 10 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 53 0 0 0 0 3 0
ODI 0 55 0 3 1 9 5 0
CDI 0 59 2 18 7 33 28 12
VCDI 0 26 12 76 224 439 6957 23742
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-02-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 229 5 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 55 1 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 45 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 42 1 2 0 9 4 0
CDI 0 54 0 13 0 27 14 21
VCDI 0 27 7 80 133 271 5002 26034
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-02-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 237 11 41 0 0 0 0
OW 0 33 0 14 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 48 1 4 21 0 0 0
ODI 0 37 0 5 22 1 0 0
CDI 0 28 7 22 41 17 33 96
VCDI 0 8 2 60 105 326 5379 25483
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-02-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 201 3 24 0 0 0 0
OW 0 23 6 30 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 37 0 6 8 0 0 0
ODI 0 25 1 6 17 25 0 0
CDI 0 12 5 18 20 56 5 80
VCDI 0 0 0 36 128 377 7070 23863
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 192 3 18 0 0 0 0
OW 0 29 5 26 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 35 1 16 9 2 0 0
ODI 0 27 1 4 16 26 0 0
CDI 0 15 4 13 19 42 8 84
VCDI 0 0 1 43 129 388 7067 23859

Date: 2019-02-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 195 2 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 42 6 7 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 49 2 10 2 0 0 0
ODI 0 21 0 7 14 24 0 0
CDI 0 26 1 8 13 54 13 24
VCDI 0 5 7 50 118 351 4168 26863
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 195 2 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 42 7 6 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 47 1 11 9 7 0 0
ODI 0 21 0 8 14 28 0 0
CDI 0 27 1 8 11 49 2 19
VCDI 0 6 7 48 113 345 4179 26868

Date: 2019-02-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 167 0 21 4 0 0 0
OW 0 29 4 21 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 17 6 31 7 0 0 0
ODI 0 9 3 11 7 5 0 0
CDI 0 2 0 23 27 101 55 1
VCDI 0 0 0 6 42 200 2812 28467
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 138 0 13 4 0 0 0
OW 0 39 0 12 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 23 6 23 6 0 0 0
ODI 0 12 3 24 6 2 0 0
CDI 0 9 3 12 3 59 14 16
VCDI 0 3 1 29 69 245 2853 28452

Date: 2019-02-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 96 12 31 17 0 0 0
OW 0 7 6 24 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 27 27 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 17 28 2 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 24 24 52 77
VCDI 0 0 0 0 42 354 5822 25370
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 84 9 21 14 0 0 0
OW 0 19 8 19 16 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 2 34 20 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 18 29 3 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 30 4 5 104
VCDI 0 0 0 3 43 372 5869 25343

Date: 2019-02-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 56 9 61 13 0 0 0
OW 0 8 6 27 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 37 30 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 11 45 3 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 38 7 12 9
VCDI 0 0 0 0 38 285 4631 26742
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 54 9 48 10 0 0 0
OW 0 10 6 32 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 36 28 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 17 37 3 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 40 6 9 36
VCDI 0 0 0 0 52 285 4634 26715


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