Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2019-02-14

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-02-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71217 14360 129 429 327 81 0 0
OW 57 627 66 401 150 95 1 0
VODI 5 404 51 377 423 163 11 0
ODI 2 171 18 299 514 244 24 0
CDI 0 92 16 304 693 827 140 68
VCDI 0 36 15 226 1347 5202 23296 64140
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-02-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70502 14859 141 537 379 46 0 0
OW 51 582 69 399 274 104 3 0
VODI 0 329 42 447 441 129 49 0
ODI 0 114 26 314 549 180 63 0
CDI 0 62 2 254 759 622 137 85
VCDI 0 27 7 162 1170 4329 21543 67260
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-02-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70391 15174 166 715 316 11 0 0
OW 51 485 77 503 206 35 2 0
VODI 0 241 48 494 583 59 6 0
ODI 0 61 15 259 881 177 24 0
CDI 0 33 9 134 837 787 136 143
VCDI 0 8 3 89 805 4529 20729 67826
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-02-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69816 15233 220 902 349 63 0 0
OW 51 308 63 538 410 75 5 0
VODI 0 112 34 373 672 181 11 0
ODI 0 28 8 190 556 341 12 0
CDI 0 12 5 99 565 1218 203 95
VCDI 0 0 0 49 553 3344 20379 69975
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69816 15236 221 936 379 74 1 0
OW 51 292 58 499 380 79 5 0
VODI 0 121 39 370 660 181 8 0
ODI 0 29 7 188 530 339 13 0
CDI 0 15 4 100 584 1091 215 97
VCDI 0 0 1 58 572 3458 20368 69973

Date: 2019-02-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69998 15020 185 751 284 28 0 0
OW 52 441 65 454 389 61 3 0
VODI 0 196 34 397 617 182 10 0
ODI 0 54 13 158 539 379 21 2
CDI 0 28 3 110 576 984 229 45
VCDI 0 5 7 80 590 3345 19554 71159
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69998 15065 179 769 323 27 0 0
OW 52 397 76 419 359 52 3 0
VODI 0 198 31 396 608 189 10 0
ODI 0 48 10 179 524 340 23 2
CDI 0 30 4 106 612 848 181 40
VCDI 0 6 7 81 569 3523 19600 71164

Date: 2019-02-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70541 14282 142 658 252 18 0 0
OW 61 508 91 410 355 38 0 0
VODI 5 181 37 513 654 123 4 0
ODI 1 41 7 211 794 337 14 0
CDI 0 15 3 98 761 1258 124 17
VCDI 0 4 1 64 675 4175 17917 71658
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70542 14291 164 720 334 25 0 0
OW 62 428 53 371 339 66 1 0
VODI 4 197 38 378 670 193 28 0
ODI 0 69 17 207 561 319 45 2
CDI 0 30 6 154 590 989 140 77
VCDI 0 16 3 124 997 4357 17845 71596

Date: 2019-02-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69825 14439 209 860 423 11 0 0
OW 52 373 45 419 396 49 3 0
VODI 0 160 25 356 613 220 7 0
ODI 0 61 18 132 606 324 28 0
CDI 0 14 6 104 626 869 190 91
VCDI 0 1 0 23 711 4909 18862 70988
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69825 14307 204 934 576 19 3 0
OW 52 395 43 337 361 70 2 0
VODI 0 213 30 291 531 223 12 0
ODI 0 88 14 166 485 400 54 5
CDI 0 42 11 124 610 731 199 183
VCDI 0 3 1 42 812 4939 18820 70891

Date: 2019-02-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69095 15251 205 867 372 85 2 0
OW 52 377 66 384 317 83 4 0
VODI 0 167 32 344 620 168 12 0
ODI 0 43 22 162 556 430 32 0
CDI 0 16 7 115 637 899 148 19
VCDI 0 0 1 12 863 5040 18878 70665
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69095 15119 221 949 575 154 5 0
OW 52 375 38 296 358 86 5 0
VODI 0 222 33 269 482 276 24 0
ODI 0 98 18 172 430 400 41 4
CDI 0 36 21 148 618 1037 160 47
VCDI 0 4 2 50 902 4752 18841 70633


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