Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2019-02-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-02-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72643 13197 110 530 161 36 2 0
OW 60 754 50 346 204 33 1 0
VODI 0 496 49 353 364 74 0 0
ODI 0 171 20 198 493 175 35 0
CDI 0 63 24 190 696 401 107 0
VCDI 0 38 9 271 1383 2442 5982 6939
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-02-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71818 13558 113 539 307 25 0 0
OW 66 680 57 311 208 16 0 0
VODI 0 465 41 365 395 49 0 0
ODI 0 216 26 241 510 171 9 0
CDI 0 97 22 247 677 591 81 0
VCDI 0 96 19 357 1267 3098 7571 4791
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-02-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72188 13694 122 510 324 18 0 0
OW 51 644 65 325 144 51 0 0
VODI 0 387 49 392 419 68 0 0
ODI 0 186 27 408 558 157 0 0
CDI 0 55 15 294 823 719 64 0
VCDI 0 11 2 98 1097 2818 6065 6252
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-02-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71556 14032 107 452 316 25 0 0
OW 56 624 71 351 150 33 1 0
VODI 4 391 53 425 409 82 5 0
ODI 2 118 20 374 524 144 4 0
CDI 0 46 14 271 668 661 56 0
VCDI 0 8 4 137 943 2942 6207 6814
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71554 14082 112 474 310 24 0 0
OW 57 651 64 313 146 30 1 0
VODI 5 308 56 489 393 69 6 0
ODI 2 95 18 318 547 137 5 0
CDI 0 56 14 275 688 650 66 0
VCDI 0 27 5 141 926 2977 6195 6814

Date: 2019-02-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71121 14092 133 485 347 39 0 0
OW 60 551 52 417 204 36 2 0
VODI 4 293 46 421 457 87 7 0
ODI 2 107 28 286 554 115 15 0
CDI 0 13 7 256 658 515 32 0
VCDI 0 4 1 107 1067 2954 6544 6981
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71119 14145 132 520 346 39 0 0
OW 62 531 51 389 193 33 2 0
VODI 5 287 50 423 445 78 7 0
ODI 1 75 23 284 567 116 14 0
CDI 0 11 8 230 602 456 28 0
VCDI 0 11 3 126 1134 3024 6549 6981

Date: 2019-02-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70293 14885 145 551 297 25 0 0
OW 51 554 93 547 181 44 0 0
VODI 0 143 58 646 643 68 5 0
ODI 0 15 4 252 945 222 47 0
CDI 0 2 1 65 865 840 106 0
VCDI 0 0 0 10 383 2701 7495 5918
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70293 14820 153 592 393 59 0 0
OW 51 486 64 460 220 52 0 0
VODI 0 249 60 422 455 78 6 0
ODI 0 35 16 348 610 140 9 0
CDI 0 9 8 157 742 448 18 0
VCDI 0 0 0 92 894 3123 7620 5918

Date: 2019-02-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70072 15014 201 836 326 39 0 0
OW 51 323 62 524 312 47 4 0
VODI 0 103 43 475 594 131 10 0
ODI 0 4 7 211 616 232 11 0
CDI 0 0 0 80 705 995 94 0
VCDI 0 0 0 17 545 2500 7492 6424
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70072 14901 196 794 395 90 1 0
OW 51 322 44 460 315 74 3 0
VODI 0 203 52 322 569 142 12 0
ODI 0 17 19 314 543 265 10 0
CDI 0 1 2 202 502 735 103 0
VCDI 0 0 0 51 774 2638 7482 6424

Date: 2019-02-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70769 14296 189 723 244 20 2 0
OW 52 379 58 511 342 43 5 0
VODI 0 127 42 453 567 135 12 0
ODI 0 9 3 228 576 247 12 0
CDI 0 0 0 82 645 827 177 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 332 2293 6917 7777
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70770 14264 204 821 331 45 6 0
OW 51 356 49 474 382 62 6 0
VODI 0 151 29 399 666 193 13 0
ODI 0 37 10 197 581 378 26 0
CDI 0 3 0 91 432 754 189 0
VCDI 0 0 0 21 314 2133 6885 7777


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