Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2019-02-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-02-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17 221 1 0 2 0 0 0
OW 0 38 0 4 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 40 1 10 11 0 0 0
ODI 0 16 6 20 21 3 0 0
CDI 0 4 2 33 67 38 15 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 104 473 6532 24394
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-02-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 228 4 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 45 1 5 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 38 0 8 7 0 0 0
ODI 0 28 4 3 20 0 0 0
CDI 0 6 6 34 54 37 0 11
VCDI 0 0 0 15 128 318 5255 25822
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-02-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 23 267 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 59 0 0 0 3 0 0
VODI 0 37 1 10 0 3 0 0
ODI 0 25 0 23 6 16 1 0
CDI 0 12 5 52 51 87 16 12
VCDI 0 0 2 48 192 570 6473 24088
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-02-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 253 2 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 64 1 1 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 65 0 1 0 0 5 0
ODI 0 40 1 8 3 16 5 0
CDI 0 22 6 49 22 47 7 18
VCDI 0 11 4 74 210 498 6254 24395
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 261 2 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 53 1 1 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 60 0 2 0 0 5 0
ODI 0 44 1 9 3 18 5 0
CDI 0 23 4 42 24 46 12 15
VCDI 0 14 6 79 208 497 6249 24398

Date: 2019-02-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 233 4 5 0 0 0 0
OW 0 46 4 10 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 49 1 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 45 1 3 0 9 5 0
CDI 0 62 1 21 4 26 29 6
VCDI 0 18 6 87 164 373 6379 24491
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 232 4 5 0 0 0 0
OW 0 46 4 10 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 47 2 1 0 0 2 0
ODI 0 38 0 7 0 7 4 0
CDI 0 66 1 19 7 27 30 5
VCDI 0 24 6 84 161 374 6377 24492

Date: 2019-02-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 289 5 10 0 0 0 0
OW 0 45 2 13 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 46 1 5 8 1 0 0
ODI 0 32 0 9 4 15 33 14
CDI 0 42 8 32 49 37 43 115
VCDI 0 4 1 41 78 248 4660 26192
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 206 4 9 0 0 0 0
OW 0 44 2 12 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 39 1 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 33 1 4 8 2 2 0
CDI 0 48 0 5 4 19 25 97
VCDI 0 88 9 80 127 280 4709 26224

Date: 2019-02-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 209 7 29 0 0 0 0
OW 0 28 3 27 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 44 1 17 15 0 0 0
ODI 0 18 4 7 36 0 0 0
CDI 0 3 1 45 43 26 15 98
VCDI 0 0 0 19 151 395 7079 23761
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 179 6 33 0 0 0 0
OW 0 26 4 22 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 30 0 6 2 0 0 0
ODI 0 27 1 7 8 0 0 0
CDI 0 34 3 13 12 2 36 57
VCDI 0 6 2 63 224 419 7058 23802

Date: 2019-02-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 208 2 8 0 0 0 0
OW 0 45 1 13 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 40 2 7 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 23 0 3 30 4 0 0
CDI 0 24 3 5 12 59 15 22
VCDI 0 2 3 52 109 349 5236 25804
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 246 3 15 0 0 0 0
OW 0 45 2 16 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 27 0 4 9 0 0 0
ODI 0 21 3 4 26 5 0 2
CDI 0 3 3 24 28 48 27 108
VCDI 0 0 0 25 89 359 5224 25716


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