Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2019-01-10

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2019-01-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 774 13 39 5 0 0 0
OW 0 160 26 112 57 0 0 0
VODI 0 31 2 129 225 24 0 0
ODI 0 1 2 43 167 94 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 135 269 32 4
VCDI 0 0 0 0 81 1060 6134 22453
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-01-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 713 9 28 0 0 0 0
OW 0 185 20 83 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 93 15 145 110 0 0 0
ODI 0 36 4 68 190 26 0 0
CDI 0 15 9 40 178 96 26 30
VCDI 0 1 2 58 185 833 4910 23964
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-01-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 542 14 63 5 0 0 0
OW 0 119 17 90 32 0 0 0
VODI 0 15 8 100 132 2 0 0
ODI 0 4 2 51 196 37 0 0
CDI 0 1 3 35 136 262 32 41
VCDI 0 0 0 17 123 1056 5174 23773
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-01-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 335 10 45 5 0 0 0
OW 0 96 6 38 31 0 0 0
VODI 0 92 13 63 92 5 0 0
ODI 0 6 1 21 127 26 0 0
CDI 0 3 2 8 107 129 4 18
VCDI 0 0 0 6 88 1201 6165 23339
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 334 8 48 11 0 0 0
OW 0 74 6 36 26 0 0 0
VODI 0 115 13 52 65 5 0 0
ODI 0 7 3 33 134 17 0 0
CDI 0 2 2 7 125 110 0 20
VCDI 0 0 0 5 89 1229 6169 23337

Date: 2019-01-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 23 384 5 11 0 0 0 0
OW 0 167 8 29 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 129 16 54 22 0 0 0
ODI 0 39 6 78 55 7 0 0
CDI 0 31 2 45 89 32 31 46
VCDI 0 29 4 91 427 1398 4639 24185
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 23 405 5 16 0 0 0 0
OW 0 123 8 26 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 149 12 49 21 0 0 0
ODI 0 43 10 69 49 5 0 0
CDI 0 31 2 55 83 34 29 46
VCDI 0 28 4 93 438 1398 4641 24185

Date: 2019-01-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 36 471 11 33 2 0 0 0
OW 0 140 16 88 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 59 6 56 95 2 0 0
ODI 0 37 0 18 83 38 0 0
CDI 0 51 7 55 111 123 51 5
VCDI 0 42 8 58 194 927 8150 21092
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 36 345 8 16 0 0 0 0
OW 0 109 8 39 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 167 11 50 21 0 0 0
ODI 0 52 6 51 60 18 0 0
CDI 0 38 1 39 82 56 50 6
VCDI 0 89 14 113 336 1016 8151 21091

Date: 2019-01-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 32 339 11 60 14 0 0 0
OW 0 45 6 74 76 1 0 0
VODI 0 44 1 31 116 34 0 0
ODI 0 37 4 5 30 102 0 1
CDI 0 27 3 19 3 120 58 31
VCDI 0 17 4 100 188 776 7658 22015
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 32 280 8 36 11 0 0 0
OW 0 64 5 52 34 0 0 0
VODI 0 62 5 76 80 23 0 0
ODI 0 44 0 7 86 51 0 0
CDI 0 24 6 12 26 110 28 31
VCDI 0 35 5 106 190 849 7688 22016

Date: 2019-01-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16 314 7 14 0 0 0 0
OW 0 72 13 56 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 43 6 69 84 6 0 0
ODI 0 18 3 19 85 43 0 0
CDI 0 14 2 28 32 150 77 11
VCDI 0 0 0 21 115 572 8486 21698
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16 304 10 18 6 1 0 0
OW 0 66 9 56 25 9 0 0
VODI 0 52 5 52 58 18 0 0
ODI 0 22 4 22 73 63 0 0
CDI 0 12 2 28 35 99 54 8
VCDI 0 5 1 31 127 581 8509 21701


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