Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2019-01-03

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2018-12-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6 1272 8 8 0 0 0 0
OW 0 510 7 30 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 417 27 146 33 0 0 0
ODI 0 73 16 144 104 39 3 0
CDI 0 38 6 83 182 212 53 42
VCDI 0 16 9 85 350 2005 9478 16679
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-12-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1097 6 6 0 0 0 0
OW 0 438 20 69 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 235 16 195 25 0 0 0
ODI 0 96 21 201 141 44 0 0
CDI 0 32 9 104 255 261 99 32
VCDI 0 1 3 61 397 2178 11672 14367
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-01-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1303 20 40 0 0 0 0
OW 0 229 25 154 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 54 21 166 99 0 0 0
ODI 0 12 8 112 242 34 3 0
CDI 0 1 1 59 258 198 59 28
VCDI 0 0 0 10 229 1359 7727 19630
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-01-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 879 20 71 17 0 0 0
OW 0 103 27 147 59 0 0 0
VODI 0 20 4 127 274 8 0 0
ODI 0 2 0 35 179 71 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 123 411 39 12
VCDI 0 0 0 2 156 1172 7402 20706
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 869 24 82 19 0 0 0
OW 0 110 22 141 91 0 0 0
VODI 0 23 5 118 224 15 0 0
ODI 0 2 0 41 173 64 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 141 326 35 14
VCDI 0 0 0 2 160 1257 7406 20704

Date: 2019-01-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 775 11 29 0 0 0 0
OW 0 188 24 116 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 56 13 208 112 3 0 0
ODI 0 7 2 94 169 31 1 0
CDI 0 1 1 48 167 127 26 5
VCDI 0 0 0 18 152 961 5175 23560
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 752 17 42 0 0 0 0
OW 0 182 19 107 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 86 10 194 130 5 0 0
ODI 0 6 4 98 137 52 4 0
CDI 0 1 1 54 166 112 24 1
VCDI 0 0 0 18 169 953 5174 23564

Date: 2019-01-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 743 19 41 0 0 0 0
OW 0 93 19 122 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 52 8 123 148 2 0 0
ODI 0 7 3 51 254 50 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 40 182 240 41 32
VCDI 0 0 0 10 87 724 4108 24861
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 573 11 24 0 0 0 0
OW 0 205 16 81 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 86 12 131 103 0 0 0
ODI 0 21 7 44 202 15 0 0
CDI 0 10 3 58 139 121 38 35
VCDI 0 0 1 49 240 880 4111 24858

Date: 2019-01-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 385 8 62 6 0 0 0
OW 0 146 14 53 26 0 0 0
VODI 0 34 12 104 93 4 0 0
ODI 0 6 1 31 160 20 0 0
CDI 0 1 1 10 150 192 23 38
VCDI 0 0 0 20 116 1203 5508 23655
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 298 5 42 4 0 0 0
OW 0 124 7 29 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 140 21 130 75 2 0 0
ODI 0 8 1 38 182 14 0 0
CDI 0 2 2 18 106 112 16 52
VCDI 0 0 0 23 167 1291 5515 23641

Date: 2019-01-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8 370 5 21 0 0 0 0
OW 0 118 11 40 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 92 13 100 33 0 0 0
ODI 0 15 3 53 104 1 0 0
CDI 0 10 0 18 118 55 0 24
VCDI 0 6 1 22 114 1043 5711 23966
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8 279 5 15 0 0 0 0
OW 0 97 6 28 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 105 4 46 27 0 0 0
ODI 0 108 12 80 64 1 0 0
CDI 0 11 5 47 102 72 14 99
VCDI 0 11 1 38 177 1026 5697 23891


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